EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-17 06:00 UTC · 1 hour ago

BUY

92%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +5%

▲ Bullish 92% (36.69) ▼ Bearish 8% (3.24)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

08:00TomorrowEURBalance of Trade (Jun)●●○Forecast -€6.3BPrevious -€8.24Bin 1 day
09:00TomorrowEURZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Aug)●●●Forecast 21.5Previous 26.3in 1 day
09:00TomorrowEURZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Aug)●●●Forecast 20Previous 23.4in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.34
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.33
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.18
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.82
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.65
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.14
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.86
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.70

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals has fired on the 30-minute chart, including trendline breaks and multiple oscillator crossovers.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal that needs confirmation.
Key levels: resistance at 184.44900 and support at 183.59600; watch for a break above resistance to confirm the bullish move.
The signal is very strong (85% probability), but the bearish higher timeframe trend adds risk.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, a Trendline Break Down, and multiple oscillator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit). These signals collectively suggest that downside momentum has stalled and that a bullish reversal may be underway. The presence of Fibonacci, trendline, and candlestick groups adds confluence, reinforcing the idea that buyers are stepping in near key technical levels.

However, the broader trend context remains bearish across all timeframes, with the 8-hour and 12-hour charts showing the strongest bearish trends. This creates a potential conflict: the short-term bullish signals are firing against a dominant downtrend. The nearest resistance at 184.44900 is a critical level to watch; a break above it could confirm the reversal, while a failure to hold above support at 183.59600 would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should monitor these levels closely, as the 85% probability and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence signal, but the bearish higher timeframe trend warrants caution.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR) are exiting oversold conditions or crossing above their midlines, indicating strong bullish momentum.
▲ Trendline breaks in both directions suggest a potential reversal pattern, with the bullish break being the most recent.
▲ Confluence from Fibonacci, trendline, and candlestick signal groups adds weight to the signal.
▲ The signal strength is 'very strong' with an 85% probability, reflecting high confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend is bearish across all timeframes, especially on the 8-hour and 12-hour charts, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 184.44900, the bullish signal may fade.
▼ A drop below the nearest support at 183.59600 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The 15-minute to 4-hour timeframes are all bearish and choppy, suggesting that the market may lack clear direction, increasing the chance of false signals.