EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
66%
▲ Bullish 34% (6.49)
▼ Bearish 66% (12.47)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- TomorrowEURBalance of Trade (Jun)●●○Forecast -€6.3BPrevious -€8.24Bin 1 day
- TomorrowEURZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Aug)●●●Forecast 20Previous 23.4in 1 day
- TomorrowEURZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Aug)●●●Forecast 21.5Previous 26.3in 1 day
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.42 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.18 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 1.83 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.54 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.12 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 0.62 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple signals aligning for a sell.
- Higher timeframes (2H to Daily) are bearish, supporting a continuation lower.
- Key resistance at 184.449; support at 183.596 is the immediate downside target.
- A break below 183.596 could accelerate selling; watch for confirmation.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%), Hanging Man, Tweezers Top, and Resistance Level Retreat Down. This confluence points to a strong short-term bearish reversal from the 184.449 resistance area. The 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are still technically bullish but showing choppy, sideways action with a weak trend score (1/5), indicating that the recent upward momentum is fading. Meanwhile, the higher timeframes—2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily—are all bearish, with the 12-hour showing a solid trend (3/5). This alignment suggests that the current pullback is likely to be part of a larger downtrend, and the 30-minute bearish signals may be the trigger for a continuation lower. The nearest support at 183.596 is the immediate downside target, and a break below that could open the door for further declines. Traders should watch for a sustained move below the broken trendline and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level to confirm the bearish bias.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple bearish signals fired simultaneously, increasing conviction.
- ▼ Higher timeframe trend (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, Daily) is bearish, aligning with the short-term sell.
- ▼ Price retreated from resistance at 184.449, showing rejection.
- ▼ Fibonacci 50% retracement level acted as resistance, adding to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 30-minute and 1-hour trends are still bullish, though weak; a bounce could invalidate the setup.
- ▲ If price breaks above 184.449, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
- ▲ Choppy price action on lower timeframes may lead to false signals.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the daily trend (only 2/5) fails to strengthen.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
66%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-17 07:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 184.44900 | 2026-08-14 |
| S1 | 183.59600 | 2026-08-14 |
| S2 | 183.54800 | 2026-08-13 |
| S3 | 183.44200 | 2026-08-13 |
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