USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-08-17 03:00 UTC · 43 minutes ago

SELL

98%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 2% (1.40) ▼ Bearish 98% (71.87)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TodayUSDNY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 12Previous 15.6in 11h
14:00TodayUSDNAHB Housing Market Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 34Previous 34in 12h
20:00TodayUSDNet Long-term TIC Flows (Jun)●●○Previous 232.7in 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.33
▼	Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.10
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	2.04
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.11
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.00
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.92
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish bias on USD/JPY is strong, with 93% probability and very strong strength, backed by multiple technical signals.
Higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, suggesting the 30M signal aligns with the broader trend.
Key levels: resistance at 159.397 and support at 158.598; watch for a break below support to confirm further downside.
Oversold conditions (WILLR) may cause short-term bounces, but the trend remains bearish unless resistance is reclaimed.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and confirmed by multiple momentum and volatility indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down and MACD Zero Cross Down both confirm selling pressure, while the EMA and DEMA Retreat Downs indicate that price is pulling back from moving averages in a bearish fashion. The WILLR OS Entry suggests oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term bounce, but the overall alignment across timeframes supports the bearish bias. The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are choppy, but higher timeframes (1H, 8H, 12H, 1D) show solid bearish trends, indicating that the current move is part of a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 159.397 and support at 158.598; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes, with higher timeframes showing solid bearish trends.
▼ Confluence of signals: Trendline Break Down, MACD Zero Cross Down, and BOP Zero Cross Down all confirm bearish momentum.
▼ Price retreating from EMAs and DEMAs, indicating sellers are in control.
▼ Support/resistance levels are well-defined, with nearest support at 158.598 providing a target.

Risk Factors

▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) may lead to a short-term bounce, potentially stalling the decline.
▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are choppy, which could cause whipsaw price action.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 159.397, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up suggests a possible bullish momentum divergence, which could signal a reversal.