AUD/CAD – 2H – BUY
BUY
100%
▲ Bullish 100% (50.01)
▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/CAD
Full calendar- TomorrowAUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Change (Aug)●●○Forecast -2.6%Previous 4.1%in 55m
- TomorrowAUDWestpac Consumer Confidence Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 81.7Previous 83.9in 55m
- TomorrowCADHousing Starts (Jul)●●○Forecast 220KPrevious 239Kin 12h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.45 |
| ▲ | Ascending Triangle | chart_pattern | 2.45 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.22 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.99 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami | candlestick | 1.53 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.03 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence on 2H: trendline break, ascending triangle, and multiple indicator signals all align.
- Upside target is the nearest resistance at 0.98637; a break could open further upside.
- Support at 0.98192 is critical—losing it would invalidate the bullish setup.
- Higher timeframe trend is mixed: 4H/8H bullish but 1D bearish, so treat this as a potential counter-trend move.
The AUD/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, an Ascending Triangle, and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE) and a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up. This confluence suggests strong buying pressure is building on the 2H timeframe, where the trend is bullish and forming. The Ascending Triangle pattern implies accumulation, and the break of the trendline adds confirmation. The nearest resistance at 0.98637 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.98192 should hold if the bullish momentum persists.
However, the higher-timeframe picture is mixed: the 4H and 8H are bullish but choppy, while the 1D is bearish and choppy. The 15m, 30m, and 1H are all bearish, indicating that the short-term momentum is against the 2H signal. This divergence suggests the bullish move on 2H may be a counter-trend correction within a larger bearish structure. Traders should watch whether price can sustain above the 2H support and push through resistance, or if the lower-timeframe bearish pressure drags price back down.
However, the higher-timeframe picture is mixed: the 4H and 8H are bullish but choppy, while the 1D is bearish and choppy. The 15m, 30m, and 1H are all bearish, indicating that the short-term momentum is against the 2H signal. This divergence suggests the bullish move on 2H may be a counter-trend correction within a larger bearish structure. Traders should watch whether price can sustain above the 2H support and push through resistance, or if the lower-timeframe bearish pressure drags price back down.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple trendline breaks (price, HT trendline) confirm a shift in structure.
- ▲ Ascending Triangle pattern is a classic bullish continuation/reversal setup.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up show improving buying momentum.
- ▲ DEMA and EMA retreats indicate price is finding support at moving averages.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-1H) are all bearish, which could drag price down before the 2H signal plays out.
- ▼ 1D trend is bearish and choppy, suggesting the larger trend may still be down.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 0.98192, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.98637 is nearby and could cap upside if not broken with volume.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-17 22:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.98637 | 2026-08-12 |
| R2 | 0.98768 | 2026-08-07 |
| R3 | 0.99250 | 2026-08-05 |
| S1 | 0.98192 | 2026-08-14 |
| S2 | 0.98071 | 2026-08-11 |
| S3 | 0.97509 | 2026-07-30 |
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