AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

2026-08-18 17:00 UTC · 53 minutes ago

SELL

85%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 15% (9.82) ▼ Bearish 85% (56.66)

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYMachinery Orders YoY (Jun)●●○Previous -1.9in 7h
23:50TodayJPYMachinery Orders MoM (Jun)●●○Previous -12.4in 7h
03:45TomorrowAUDRBA Hauser Speech●●○in 11h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	3.26
▼	Rising Wedge	chart_pattern	2.73
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.07
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.86
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.86
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	1.78
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.69
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.54
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.51
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.30
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.03
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 1H timeframe, with multiple pattern and indicator signals aligning.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bearish, while higher timeframes remain bullish—be aware of the conflict.
Key support at 113.15700 is the immediate downside target; a break below could accelerate selling.
Resistance at 113.47800 is the level to watch for a potential bullish reversal if price reclaims it.

The 1H AUD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Rising Wedge breakdown, Trendline Break Down, and multiple AROON and CMO zero-cross downs. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and a likely continuation of the short-term downtrend. The bearish momentum is supported by the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes all aligning bearish, while the daily timeframe also shows a bearish bias, suggesting the move may have broader significance.

However, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) remain bullish, which creates a conflicting picture. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 113.15700, with resistance overhead at 113.47800. A break below support could open the door for further declines, but the bullish higher timeframes warrant caution, as the selloff could be a pullback within a larger uptrend. Watch for a reclaim of the resistance level as a sign of bullish resumption.

Catalysts

▼ Rising Wedge breakdown combined with Trendline Break Down and AROON Cross Down signals a high-probability bearish move.
▼ Alignment of bearish trends across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes reinforces the short-term downtrend.
▼ Daily timeframe also bearish, suggesting the selling pressure may have longer-term implications.
▼ Multiple oscillator signals (CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down) confirm momentum is shifting downward.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are bullish, which could limit the downside or cause a reversal.
▲ If price breaks above the 113.47800 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The trend strength score is only 2/5 on most timeframes, indicating the trend is still forming and could be fragile.
▲ Watch for a bounce at support; a failure to break below could lead to a consolidation or reversal.