AUD/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL
92%
▲ Bullish 8% (4.99)
▼ Bearish 92% (60.12)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDAPI Crude Oil Stock Change (Aug/14)●●○in 4h
- TomorrowAUDRBA Hauser Speech●●○in 12h
- TomorrowUSDMBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug/14)●●○in 19h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Rising Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.27 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.48 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (62%) | fibonacci | 1.46 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.38 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 0.94 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.90 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPTrend forming
2HUPSolid trend
4HUPSolid trend
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
- The Rising Wedge and Trendline Retreat Down suggest a potential reversal from the recent highs.
- The broader trend is bullish across higher timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
- Watch the 0.71004 support: a break could accelerate the decline, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, a Rising Wedge pattern, and multiple momentum oscillators crossing down (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHRSI) alongside a CCI exit from overbought territory. This suggests a short-term pullback or reversal is underway, with the Rising Wedge acting as a classic bearish reversal pattern. The confluence of these signals points to selling pressure building at the upper end of the recent range, and the nearest resistance at 0.71290 is likely to cap any upside attempts.
However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to daily is bullish, with solid trend scores on the 2H, 4H, and 8H charts. This means the bearish signals on the 30-minute chart are likely a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The key level to watch is the nearest support at 0.71004; a break below that would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price holds above support and reclaims the trendline, the bullish bias could reassert. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity, with a clear invalidation if the price breaks back above the resistance.
However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to daily is bullish, with solid trend scores on the 2H, 4H, and 8H charts. This means the bearish signals on the 30-minute chart are likely a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The key level to watch is the nearest support at 0.71004; a break below that would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price holds above support and reclaims the trendline, the bullish bias could reassert. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity, with a clear invalidation if the price breaks back above the resistance.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (RSI, CCI, BOP, CMO, STOCHRSI) all crossing down simultaneously.
- ▼ Rising Wedge pattern is a classic bearish reversal signal, adding to the bearish case.
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down indicates rejection from a key trendline, reinforcing resistance.
- ▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (89%) suggest robust bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The overall trend is bullish across all timeframes, so the bearish move could be a shallow pullback.
- ▲ Nearest resistance at 0.71290 is close; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum could fade quickly if higher-timeframe buyers step in, especially with the 1H and 15M trends still bullish.
- ▲ Watch for a bullish reversal pattern near support, which could signal the end of the pullback.
Symbol
AUD/USD
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
92%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 04:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.71290 | 2026-08-17 |
| S1 | 0.71004 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 0.70770 | 2026-08-17 |
| S3 | 0.70518 | 2026-08-14 |
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