AUD/USD 30M SELL

· 13 hours ago
SELL
92%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 8% (4.99) ▼ Bearish 92% (60.12)
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
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Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Rising Wedge chart_pattern 2.27
CCI OB Exit indicator 2.24
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.78
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.74
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.74
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.66
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.65
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.59
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.48
SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.46
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (62%) fibonacci 1.46
STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.43
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.38
BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 0.94
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPSolid trend
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
  • The Rising Wedge and Trendline Retreat Down suggest a potential reversal from the recent highs.
  • The broader trend is bullish across higher timeframes, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
  • Watch the 0.71004 support: a break could accelerate the decline, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Down, a Rising Wedge pattern, and multiple momentum oscillators crossing down (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHRSI) alongside a CCI exit from overbought territory. This suggests a short-term pullback or reversal is underway, with the Rising Wedge acting as a classic bearish reversal pattern. The confluence of these signals points to selling pressure building at the upper end of the recent range, and the nearest resistance at 0.71290 is likely to cap any upside attempts.

However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to daily is bullish, with solid trend scores on the 2H, 4H, and 8H charts. This means the bearish signals on the 30-minute chart are likely a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The key level to watch is the nearest support at 0.71004; a break below that would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price holds above support and reclaims the trendline, the bullish bias could reassert. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity, with a clear invalidation if the price breaks back above the resistance.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (RSI, CCI, BOP, CMO, STOCHRSI) all crossing down simultaneously.
  • Rising Wedge pattern is a classic bearish reversal signal, adding to the bearish case.
  • Trendline Retreat Down indicates rejection from a key trendline, reinforcing resistance.
  • Strong signal strength and high probability (89%) suggest robust bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
  • The overall trend is bullish across all timeframes, so the bearish move could be a shallow pullback.
  • Nearest resistance at 0.71290 is close; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Momentum could fade quickly if higher-timeframe buyers step in, especially with the 1H and 15M trends still bullish.
  • Watch for a bullish reversal pattern near support, which could signal the end of the pullback.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-18 04:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.71290 2026-08-17
S1 0.71004 2026-08-17
S2 0.70770 2026-08-17
S3 0.70518 2026-08-14

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