GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (3.29)
▼ Bearish 96% (74.40)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYMachinery Orders MoM (Jun)●●○Previous -12.4in 3h
- TodayJPYMachinery Orders YoY (Jun)●●○Previous -1.9in 3h
- TomorrowGBPCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Previous 2.6in 9h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 2.07 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.98 |
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.71 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.01 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart points to a short-term pullback, with support at 215.75900 as the key downside target.
- Higher timeframes (30M–12H) are mostly bullish but choppy, so the sell is counter-trend and may be limited in scope.
- The 1-day trend is also bearish, offering some macro alignment, but trend strength is weak across all timeframes.
- Watch the resistance at 216.15400: a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 30-minute GBP/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Down, a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, and a wave of zero-cross downs across BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR. Momentum oscillators (STOCHF) and the Williams %R exiting overbought territory corroborate the bearish tilt, while the signal groups span trendline, indicator, support/resistance, and candlestick patterns. This confluence suggests a short-term pullback within a broader bullish structure, with the nearest support at 215.75900 acting as the first downside target and the nearest resistance at 216.15400 defining the invalidation zone.
Across higher timeframes, the trend remains predominantly bullish from 30 minutes up to 12 hours, though most are choppy or only forming. The 1-day trend is bearish but also forming, offering some macro alignment with the short-term sell. However, the lack of strong trend scores on any timeframe (max 2/5) indicates that the bearish signal is counter-trend on the medium-term horizon. Traders should watch whether price holds below the resistance and respects the support; a break above 216.15400 would negate the bearish setup, while a sustained move below support could extend the correction.
Across higher timeframes, the trend remains predominantly bullish from 30 minutes up to 12 hours, though most are choppy or only forming. The 1-day trend is bearish but also forming, offering some macro alignment with the short-term sell. However, the lack of strong trend scores on any timeframe (max 2/5) indicates that the bearish signal is counter-trend on the medium-term horizon. Traders should watch whether price holds below the resistance and respects the support; a break above 216.15400 would negate the bearish setup, while a sustained move below support could extend the correction.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple zero-cross downs across BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR confirm momentum shifting lower.
- ▼ A Bearish Engulfing candlestick and Trendline Retreat Down add pattern-based confirmation.
- ▼ STOCHF and Williams %R exiting overbought territory support the bearish momentum.
- ▼ The 1-day trend is bearish, aligning with the short-term sell signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (30M–12H) are predominantly bullish, so the sell may be a pullback within an uptrend.
- ▲ Trend strength is weak (1–2/5) across all timeframes, suggesting the move could lack follow-through.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 216.15400 would invalidate the bearish signal.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes increase the risk of false signals.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-18 09:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 216.15400 | 2026-08-17 |
| S1 | 215.75900 | 2026-08-18 |
| S2 | 215.40200 | 2026-08-17 |
| S3 | 214.88800 | 2026-08-14 |
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