AUD/CAD – 12H – BUY
BUY
96%
▲ Bullish 96% (37.42)
▼ Bearish 4% (1.47)
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Signal evolution
Events for AUD/CAD
Full calendar- TodayAUDEmployment Change (Jul)●●●Forecast 25KPrevious 76.3Kin 44m
- TodayAUDFull Time Employment Chg (Jul)●●○Previous 29.3in 44m
- TodayAUDUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 4.5%Previous 4.4%in 44m
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.59 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.58 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▲ | DI CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (62%) | fibonacci | 1.85 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | DM CROSS Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | MAMA Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bullish signals fired on the 12H chart, suggesting a potential upward move.
- The 4H timeframe shows a forming bullish trend, supporting the 12H signal.
- Key resistance at 0.99250; a break above could open further upside.
- Watch support at 0.98071; a break below would invalidate the bullish case.
The AUD/CAD 12H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, DI Cross Up, DM Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and BBANDS Lower Retreat Up, alongside an EMA 200 Retreat Up. These signals collectively suggest a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish on the 12H timeframe, with the price retreating from a trendline and bouncing off the lower Bollinger Band, while the Williams %R exits oversold territory. The confluence of these indicators points to a potential upward move, with the nearest resistance at 0.99250 acting as a key hurdle.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but improving: the 4H timeframe shows a bullish trend forming (2/5), while the 12H is bullish but choppy (1/5). Lower timeframes (15m to 2h) remain bearish and choppy, and the 1D is bearish, which could limit upside. The signal's high probability (96%) and very strong strength are supported by the alignment of multiple indicators, but traders should watch for resistance at 0.99250 and a potential invalidation below the nearest support at 0.98071.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but improving: the 4H timeframe shows a bullish trend forming (2/5), while the 12H is bullish but choppy (1/5). Lower timeframes (15m to 2h) remain bearish and choppy, and the 1D is bearish, which could limit upside. The signal's high probability (96%) and very strong strength are supported by the alignment of multiple indicators, but traders should watch for resistance at 0.99250 and a potential invalidation below the nearest support at 0.98071.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of trendline, indicator, and EMA signals on the 12H timeframe.
- ▲ Williams %R exiting oversold territory, indicating buying pressure.
- ▲ BOP zero cross up and DI/DM crosses up confirm bullish momentum.
- ▲ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band and EMA 200 suggests support.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are bearish and choppy, which could lead to false breakouts.
- ▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish, potentially capping upside.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.99250 may reject price, leading to a pullback.
- ▼ A break below support at 0.98071 would invalidate the bullish signal.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Timeframe
12H
Direction
BUY
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.99250 | 2026-08-05 |
| R2 | 0.99449 | 2026-06-22 |
| R3 | 0.99507 | 2026-06-02 |
| S1 | 0.98071 | 2026-08-11 |
| S2 | 0.97509 | 2026-07-30 |
| S3 | 0.97458 | 2026-06-11 |
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