EUR/CHF – 4H – SELL
SELL
83%
▲ Bullish 17% (3.66)
▼ Bearish 83% (17.39)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/CHF
Full calendar- TomorrowEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.9%Previous 3.8%in 7h
- TomorrowEURPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.3%in 8h
- TomorrowCHFBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Forecast CHF4.1BPrevious CHF3.8Bin 8h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Stoch Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.83 |
| ▼ | MACD Hist Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.28 |
| ▼ | RSI Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.24 |
| ▼ | Momentum Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.23 |
| ▼ | AO Regular Bear Div | divergence | 2.15 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.09 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 1.69 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.03 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.02 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HUPSolid trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong SELL signal on 4H with multiple bearish confirmations (divergences, trendline breaks, Fibonacci).
- Short-term timeframes (30m-4h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (8h-1d) remain bullish—so this is likely a pullback.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.94100, support at 0.92711; watch for a break of support to confirm further downside.
- Divergences on RSI and MACD suggest fading bullish momentum, increasing the odds of a move lower.
The 4H EUR/CHF signal is a strong SELL, backed by a confluence of bearish indicators: a Trendline Break Up followed by a Trendline Retreat Down, a DEMA Retreat Down, and a HT SINE Zero Cross Up. The presence of RSI Regular Bear Divergence and MACD Histogram Regular Bear Divergence reinforces the bearish momentum, while the Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% and Resistance Level Retreat Down suggest price is being rejected from higher levels. The signal groups—divergence, indicator, support/resistance, Fibonacci, and trendline—all align to point lower.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but supportive of the short-term bearish bias: the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h are all bearish (with 1h and 4h choppy/sideways), while the 8h, 12h, and 1d are bullish and solid. This suggests the selloff is a correction within a larger uptrend, so the downside may be limited. The nearest resistance is at 0.94100, and the nearest support is at 0.92711. A break below that support could open the door for further declines, but traders should watch for a bounce at support if the higher timeframe trend reasserts itself.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but supportive of the short-term bearish bias: the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h are all bearish (with 1h and 4h choppy/sideways), while the 8h, 12h, and 1d are bullish and solid. This suggests the selloff is a correction within a larger uptrend, so the downside may be limited. The nearest resistance is at 0.94100, and the nearest support is at 0.92711. A break below that support could open the door for further declines, but traders should watch for a bounce at support if the higher timeframe trend reasserts itself.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple divergences (RSI and MACD) indicate weakening bullish momentum.
- ▼ Trendline Break Up followed by Retreat Down shows a failed breakout, a bearish reversal pattern.
- ▼ Resistance Level Retreat Down and Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% add confluence to the bearish case.
- ▼ Short-term trend scores (30m-4h) are bearish, aligning with the 4H signal.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish and solid, which could limit downside or reverse the move.
- ▲ The 1h and 4h trends are choppy/sideways, indicating low conviction in the bearish move.
- ▲ Price is near support at 0.92711; a bounce there could invalidate the sell signal.
- ▲ If price breaks above the 0.94100 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
Symbol
EUR/CHF
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
83%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.94100 | 2026-08-14 |
| S1 | 0.92711 | 2026-07-30 |
| S2 | 0.92207 | 2026-07-15 |
| S3 | 0.92017 | 2026-07-10 |
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