EUR/JPY – 1D – SELL
SELL
90%
▲ Bullish 10% (1.90)
▼ Bearish 90% (16.86)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/JPY
Full calendar- TodayEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.9%Previous 3.8%in 3h
- TodayEURPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.4%Previous 1.8%in 5h
- TodayEURPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.3%in 5h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 3.02 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.54 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.02 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 0.87 |
| ▼ | Gapping Down Doji | candlestick | 0.79 |
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence: Bear Flag, Fibonacci breakdown, and multiple momentum indicators align for a sell.
- Trend is bearish across most timeframes, with the daily and 12h confirming the downtrend.
- Key resistance at 187.467 must hold; a break above would invalidate the setup.
- Target support at 179.364, but watch for choppy conditions on the 4h and 8h.
The EUR/JPY daily chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Flag continuation pattern and a Fibonacci breakdown of the 24% retracement level, which together point to a resumption of the prevailing downtrend. The confluence of indicator signals—BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Entry—confirms that buying pressure is fading and momentum is turning lower. The presence of bearish candlestick patterns (Gapping Down Doji and Tweezers Top) reinforces the rejection at resistance. With an 89% probability and very strong strength, the signal suggests a high-confidence short setup.
Trend alignment across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 2h, 12h, and daily charts all showing bearish trends, while the 15m is the only bullish outlier but is choppy and weak (1/5). The 4h and 8h are bearish but choppy, indicating some consolidation. The nearest resistance at 187.467 is the immediate barrier; a break above would invalidate the bearish thesis. The nearest support at 179.364 is the target zone. Traders should watch for a sustained move lower, with a close below the flag's lower boundary confirming the breakdown.
Trend alignment across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 2h, 12h, and daily charts all showing bearish trends, while the 15m is the only bullish outlier but is choppy and weak (1/5). The 4h and 8h are bearish but choppy, indicating some consolidation. The nearest resistance at 187.467 is the immediate barrier; a break above would invalidate the bearish thesis. The nearest support at 179.364 is the target zone. Traders should watch for a sustained move lower, with a close below the flag's lower boundary confirming the breakdown.
Catalysts
- ▼ Bear Flag pattern suggests continuation of the existing downtrend.
- ▼ Fibonacci breakdown of the 24% retracement adds technical weight to the bearish case.
- ▼ Multiple oscillator signals (CCI, STOCHRSI, WILLR) confirm overbought conditions exiting and momentum turning down.
- ▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Gapping Down Doji, Tweezers Top) at resistance reinforce selling pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ A daily close above 187.467 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The 15m timeframe is bullish, though weak, and could trigger a short-term bounce.
- ▲ Choppy conditions on 4h and 8h may lead to false breakouts or sideways action.
- ▲ Overbought readings can persist, and momentum could fade if price stalls near support.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
1D
Direction
SELL
Probability
90%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 187.46700 | 2026-07-29 |
| R2 | 187.94800 | 2026-04-17 |
| S1 | 179.36400 | 2026-08-03 |
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