EUR/JPY 1D SELL

· 43 minutes ago
SELL
90%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Position
Prognose: 48% historisch
⚡ Confluence +19%
▲ Bullish 10% (1.90) ▼ Bearish 90% (16.86)
EUR/JPY  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayEURUnemployment Rate (Jul)●●●Forecast 3.9%Previous 3.8%in 3h
  • TodayEURPPI YoY (Jul)●●●Forecast 2.4%Previous 1.8%in 5h
  • TodayEURPPI MoM (Jul)●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.3%in 5h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 3.02
CCI OB Exit indicator 1.90
STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.56
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.54
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.02
WILLR OB Entry indicator 0.87
Gapping Down Doji candlestick 0.79

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: Bear Flag, Fibonacci breakdown, and multiple momentum indicators align for a sell.
  • Trend is bearish across most timeframes, with the daily and 12h confirming the downtrend.
  • Key resistance at 187.467 must hold; a break above would invalidate the setup.
  • Target support at 179.364, but watch for choppy conditions on the 4h and 8h.
The EUR/JPY daily chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Flag continuation pattern and a Fibonacci breakdown of the 24% retracement level, which together point to a resumption of the prevailing downtrend. The confluence of indicator signals—BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Entry—confirms that buying pressure is fading and momentum is turning lower. The presence of bearish candlestick patterns (Gapping Down Doji and Tweezers Top) reinforces the rejection at resistance. With an 89% probability and very strong strength, the signal suggests a high-confidence short setup.

Trend alignment across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with the 30m, 1h, 2h, 12h, and daily charts all showing bearish trends, while the 15m is the only bullish outlier but is choppy and weak (1/5). The 4h and 8h are bearish but choppy, indicating some consolidation. The nearest resistance at 187.467 is the immediate barrier; a break above would invalidate the bearish thesis. The nearest support at 179.364 is the target zone. Traders should watch for a sustained move lower, with a close below the flag's lower boundary confirming the breakdown.
Catalysts
  • Bear Flag pattern suggests continuation of the existing downtrend.
  • Fibonacci breakdown of the 24% retracement adds technical weight to the bearish case.
  • Multiple oscillator signals (CCI, STOCHRSI, WILLR) confirm overbought conditions exiting and momentum turning down.
  • Bearish candlestick patterns (Gapping Down Doji, Tweezers Top) at resistance reinforce selling pressure.
Risk Factors
  • A daily close above 187.467 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The 15m timeframe is bullish, though weak, and could trigger a short-term bounce.
  • Choppy conditions on 4h and 8h may lead to false breakouts or sideways action.
  • Overbought readings can persist, and momentum could fade if price stalls near support.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Probability 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 187.46700 2026-07-29
R2 187.94800 2026-04-17
S1 179.36400 2026-08-03

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