GBP/JPY – 1D – SELL

2026-08-19 00:00 UTC · 47 minutes ago

SELL

86%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Position

Prognose: 48% historisch

⚡ Confluence +13%

▲ Bullish 14% (4.03) ▼ Bearish 86% (24.79)

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

10:00TodayGBPCBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug)●●○Previous -45in 9h
23:01TodayGBPGfk Consumer Confidence (Aug)●●○Previous -17in 22h
23:30TodayJPYCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Previous 1.6in 22h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Flag	chart_pattern	3.02
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.19
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	2.02
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.85
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.84
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is strong on lower timeframes, with a clear Bear Flag pattern and multiple oscillators crossing down.
All timeframes are bearish, but the higher timeframes are still forming, so the trend may be in its early stages.
Watch for a break below 209.565 support to confirm the bearish move; a move above 219.605 would invalidate the setup.
The signal has a very strong probability (86%), but the distance to support suggests room for a move, though pullbacks are possible.

The GBP/JPY 1D chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Flag pattern and a cascade of momentum oscillators crossing below their midlines and exiting overbought conditions (RSI, CMO, BOP, STOCH, STOCHRSI, ULTOSC, WILLR). This confluence indicates that the recent up-move has stalled and sellers are stepping in with conviction. The alignment of bearish trends across the 15m to 1h timeframes, with very strong trend scores, suggests that the immediate momentum is firmly to the downside, while the higher timeframes (2h to 1d) are also bearish but still forming, implying that the move could develop further if lower timeframe pressure persists.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 219.605 and the nearest support at 209.565. A break below support would confirm the bear flag breakdown and open the path for a deeper decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The signal's high probability (86%) and very strong strength, combined with the multi-timeframe bearish alignment, give it a solid foundation, but traders should remain cautious of potential pullbacks given the lower timeframe trend scores and the distance to support.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals: Bear Flag, BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCH, STOCHRSI, ULTOSC, and WILLR all pointing down.
▼ Strong bearish trend alignment on 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, with very strong trend scores.
▼ Oscillators exiting overbought conditions, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
▼ The Bear Flag pattern provides a clear chart pattern that often leads to a continuation of the prior downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h to 1d) are only showing 'trend forming' strength, so the bearish move may lack full conviction.
▲ A reclaim of the 219.605 resistance level would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The nearest support at 209.565 is distant, so the move could be volatile and prone to pullbacks before reaching it.
▲ Momentum indicators are already oversold, which could lead to a bounce if the selling pressure fades.