GBP/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY
77%
▲ Bullish 77% (29.86)
▼ Bearish 23% (8.96)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 2h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 2h
- TomorrowGBPCBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug)●●○Previous -45in 12h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.47 |
| ▼ | ADX Trend Weak | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.98 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.97 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | SMA 50 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▲ | EMA 200 Retreat Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▲ | Hammer | candlestick | 1.29 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.22 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNTrend forming
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Bullish reversal signals on 2H, but lower timeframes still bearish—wait for confirmation.
- Watch resistance at 216.214; a break above confirms the bullish move.
- Support at 214.779 is critical; losing it invalidates the signal.
- Weak ADX suggests the bearish trend is losing steam, favoring a bounce.
The 2H GBP/JPY signal is firing a cluster of bullish triggers despite the prevailing bearish trend on lower timeframes. The Trendline Break Down and Trendline Retreat Up suggest a failed downside move and a subsequent reclaim of a broken trendline, which often marks a bullish reversal. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up add momentum confirmation, while the ADX Trend Weak indicates the bearish trend lacks strength, making a reversal more plausible. The DI and DM crosses down may seem contradictory, but in this context they reflect a weakening of the bearish drive, aligning with the overall bullish bias.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m to 1h are bearish, but the 2H itself is choppy, and the 4H to 12H are bullish, suggesting that the longer-term trend is supportive of a bounce. The nearest resistance at 216.214 is the immediate upside target, while support at 214.779 is the key level to hold. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m to 1h are bearish, but the 2H itself is choppy, and the 4H to 12H are bullish, suggesting that the longer-term trend is supportive of a bounce. The nearest resistance at 216.214 is the immediate upside target, while support at 214.779 is the key level to hold. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trendline Break Down and Retreat Up indicate a failed downside move and reclaim, a classic bullish reversal pattern.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up provide momentum confirmation.
- ▲ ADX Trend Weak signals low trend strength, reducing bearish conviction.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H-12H) are bullish, aligning with the 2H bullish bias.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-1H) are bearish, which could drag price lower before any reversal.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 214.779, the bullish signal is invalidated.
- ▼ The 1D trend is bearish, so the bounce may be counter-trend and limited.
- ▼ Choppy conditions on 2H could lead to false signals; watch for momentum confirmation.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
77%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 216.21400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 214.77900 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 214.53200 | 2026-08-12 |
| S3 | 211.45500 | 2026-08-07 |
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