GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
94%
▲ Bullish 6% (4.32)
▼ Bearish 94% (65.94)
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Signal evolution
Events for GBP/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 6h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 6h
- TomorrowGBPCBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug)●●○Previous -45in 17h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.81 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.47 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.46 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.19 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.98 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.89 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 0.79 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals on the 30m chart align, indicating strong selling pressure.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest momentum on the 30m.
- Immediate downside target is support at 215.40200; a break could extend losses.
- Resistance at 216.17100 is the key level to watch for invalidation.
The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA). The confluence of these signals across the trendline, fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick groups points to strong selling pressure, with a very strong trend score (4/5) on the 30m timeframe. The price has broken below a key trendline, and the Bollinger Bands lower band retreat suggests downside momentum is accelerating. The nearest resistance at 216.17100 now acts as a ceiling, while support at 215.40200 is the immediate target.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent: 15m, 30m, and 1h all show solid to very strong trends, while higher timeframes (2h, 12h, 1d) are forming bearish trends. The 4h and 8h are choppy, but they do not contradict the bearish direction. This alignment increases confidence in the sell signal. The key levels to watch are the support at 215.40200, which if broken could accelerate the decline, and the resistance at 216.17100, which must hold to keep the bearish setup intact.
Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent: 15m, 30m, and 1h all show solid to very strong trends, while higher timeframes (2h, 12h, 1d) are forming bearish trends. The 4h and 8h are choppy, but they do not contradict the bearish direction. This alignment increases confidence in the sell signal. The key levels to watch are the support at 215.40200, which if broken could accelerate the decline, and the resistance at 216.17100, which must hold to keep the bearish setup intact.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal types (trendline, moving averages, BOP) on the 30m timeframe.
- ▼ Very strong trend score (4/5) on the 30m, with solid support from 15m and 1h.
- ▼ Break of a significant trendline, confirmed by retreats in several moving averages.
- ▼ Bollinger Bands lower band retreat indicates accelerating downside momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframe choppiness (4h, 8h) could lead to a pause or pullback.
- ▲ If price reclaims the broken trendline or resistance at 216.17100, the bearish signal weakens.
- ▲ The 98% probability is based on signal confluence; a sharp reversal could invalidate the setup.
- ▲ Watch for a close above the nearest resistance to confirm a false breakdown.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
94%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 18:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 216.17100 | 2026-08-18 |
| R2 | 216.21400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 215.40200 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 214.88800 | 2026-08-14 |
| S3 | 214.87400 | 2026-08-14 |
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