NZD/USD – 4H – BUY
BUY
95%
▲ Bullish 95% (19.85)
▼ Bearish 5% (1.14)
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Signal evolution
Events for NZD/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims (Aug/08)●●○Forecast 1808in 11h
- TodayUSDJobless Claims 4-week Average (Aug/15)●●○Forecast 200in 11h
- TodayUSDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 25Previous 41.4in 11h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Ascending Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.69 |
| ▲ | Bull Flag | chart_pattern | 2.49 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.43 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Break Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | TEMA Break Up | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.61 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.18 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 1.14 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPSolid trend
2HUPTrend forming
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bullish confluence from multiple patterns and indicators on the 4H chart.
- Trend is bullish across all timeframes, with solid trends on lower timeframes.
- Key support at 0.58210 is the level to watch for potential pullbacks.
- No immediate resistance, indicating potential for continued upside.
The NZD/USD 4H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Ascending Triangle, and Bull Flag, alongside multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE) and a MAMA PRICE Break Up. These patterns collectively indicate strong upward momentum and a breakout from consolidation. The confluence of chart patterns and trendline breaks suggests a high-probability continuation of the bullish trend.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bullish, with solid trends on the 15m to 1h charts and trend-forming on the 2h, 4h, 12h, and 1d. The 8h shows a choppy/sideways trend, which may indicate some underlying resistance, but the overall alignment supports the bullish bias. The nearest support is at 0.58210, which serves as a key level to watch for pullbacks. The absence of a defined resistance level suggests the pair is in price discovery, potentially extending gains.
Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bullish, with solid trends on the 15m to 1h charts and trend-forming on the 2h, 4h, 12h, and 1d. The 8h shows a choppy/sideways trend, which may indicate some underlying resistance, but the overall alignment supports the bullish bias. The nearest support is at 0.58210, which serves as a key level to watch for pullbacks. The absence of a defined resistance level suggests the pair is in price discovery, potentially extending gains.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple pattern breakouts (Trendline, Ascending Triangle, Bull Flag) align.
- ▲ Moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA) confirm bullish momentum.
- ▲ Consistent bullish trend across timeframes, with solid trends on lower timeframes.
- ▲ High signal probability (94%) and very strong strength.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The 8H timeframe shows a choppy/sideways trend, which could indicate underlying resistance.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 0.58210, the bullish thesis is invalidated.
- ▼ Momentum could fade if the pair fails to hold above recent breakout levels.
- ▼ Watch for potential reversal signals on higher timeframes, such as a bearish divergence.
Symbol
NZD/USD
Timeframe
4H
Direction
BUY
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 20:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.58210 | 2026-08-13 |
| S2 | 0.57614 | 2026-07-29 |
| S3 | 0.57436 | 2026-07-13 |
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