USD/CHF 2H BUY

· 13 hours ago
BUY
93%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 93% (20.70) ▼ Bearish 7% (1.56)
USD/CHF  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCHFBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Forecast CHF4.1BPrevious CHF3.8Bin 6h
  • TomorrowUSDJobless Claims 4-week Average (Aug/15)●●○Forecast 200in 12h
  • TomorrowUSDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 25Previous 41.4in 12h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.94
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%) fibonacci 1.89
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.86
Trendline Retreat Up trendline 1.77
WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.76
TRIX Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.40
Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.37
Bullish Harami candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bullish signals align on the 2H chart, suggesting a short-term bounce.
  • The bounce is happening within a broader bearish trend, so treat it as counter-trend.
  • Watch resistance at 0.81467 and support at 0.80717 for confirmation or invalidation.
  • The bullish harami and Fibonacci retracement level add confluence to the setup.
The 2H USD/CHF chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, and a Bullish Harami. These indicators together suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and buyers are stepping in near the lower Bollinger Band. The Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend at the 50% level adds a confluence of support, while the trendline retreat confirms a bounce from a rising line. This intraday bullish setup is occurring despite a broader bearish trend across higher timeframes, so the signal is best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.81467 and support at 0.80717. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. Given the very strong probability (93%) and strong signal strength, the immediate bias is bullish, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trend and consider taking profits near resistance.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS) all pointing to bullish momentum.
  • Fibonacci 50% retracement level acting as support.
  • Bullish Harami candlestick pattern indicating a potential reversal.
  • Trendline retreat up suggests buyers are defending a rising trendline.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could overpower the 2H bounce.
  • The 15m and 30m trends are also bearish, showing no immediate confirmation on lower timeframes.
  • If price breaks below support at 0.80717, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • Resistance at 0.81467 is nearby and could cap upside.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-19 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.81467 2026-08-13
R2 0.82065 2026-07-29
S1 0.80717 2026-08-17
S2 0.80561 2026-08-07
S3 0.80390 2026-07-30

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