USD/CHF – 2H – BUY
BUY
93%
▲ Bullish 93% (20.70)
▼ Bearish 7% (1.56)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/CHF
Full calendar- TomorrowCHFBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Forecast CHF4.1BPrevious CHF3.8Bin 6h
- TomorrowUSDJobless Claims 4-week Average (Aug/15)●●○Forecast 200in 12h
- TomorrowUSDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug)●●○Forecast 25Previous 41.4in 12h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%) | fibonacci | 1.89 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 1.77 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | TRIX Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.37 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami | candlestick | 0.95 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNSolid trend
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bullish signals align on the 2H chart, suggesting a short-term bounce.
- The bounce is happening within a broader bearish trend, so treat it as counter-trend.
- Watch resistance at 0.81467 and support at 0.80717 for confirmation or invalidation.
- The bullish harami and Fibonacci retracement level add confluence to the setup.
The 2H USD/CHF chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, and a Bullish Harami. These indicators together suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and buyers are stepping in near the lower Bollinger Band. The Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend at the 50% level adds a confluence of support, while the trendline retreat confirms a bounce from a rising line. This intraday bullish setup is occurring despite a broader bearish trend across higher timeframes, so the signal is best viewed as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.81467 and support at 0.80717. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. Given the very strong probability (93%) and strong signal strength, the immediate bias is bullish, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trend and consider taking profits near resistance.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.81467 and support at 0.80717. A break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup. Given the very strong probability (93%) and strong signal strength, the immediate bias is bullish, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trend and consider taking profits near resistance.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS) all pointing to bullish momentum.
- ▲ Fibonacci 50% retracement level acting as support.
- ▲ Bullish Harami candlestick pattern indicating a potential reversal.
- ▲ Trendline retreat up suggests buyers are defending a rising trendline.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could overpower the 2H bounce.
- ▼ The 15m and 30m trends are also bearish, showing no immediate confirmation on lower timeframes.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 0.80717, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ Resistance at 0.81467 is nearby and could cap upside.
Symbol
USD/CHF
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
93%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-19 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.81467 | 2026-08-13 |
| R2 | 0.82065 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 0.80717 | 2026-08-17 |
| S2 | 0.80561 | 2026-08-07 |
| S3 | 0.80390 | 2026-07-30 |
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