USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 1 hour ago
SELL
92%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +1%
▲ Bullish 8% (3.27) ▼ Bearish 92% (35.50)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 1h
  • TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 1h
  • TomorrowUSDJobless Claims 4-week Average (Aug/15)●●○Forecast 200in 13h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.27
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.79
STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.59
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.49
TEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.28
Bullish Meeting Lines candlestick 0.87
Falling Window candlestick 0.69
Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.63

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals align on the 30-minute chart, including a trendline break, Fibonacci breakdown, and momentum crossovers.
  • All timeframes are bearish, with the 30-minute and 1-hour showing very strong trend strength, confirming the downtrend.
  • Watch the nearest support at 158.03900 as a potential downside target; a break below could accelerate selling.
  • The nearest resistance at 159.67100 is the key level to monitor—if price reclaims it, the bearish setup is invalidated.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Fibonacci Break Down at the 24% retracement level, indicating that sellers have regained control after a corrective bounce. The momentum indicators corroborate this: a STOCHRSI KD Cross Down and a TEMA Retreat Up both point to fading upside momentum and renewed downward pressure. The BOP Zero Cross Up, while typically a short-term bullish signal, in this context appears to be a minor counter-trend blip within a broader downtrend, as the overall bearish bias is reinforced by the candlestick patterns—Bullish Meeting Lines and a Long Legged Doji—which, despite their names, often signal indecision or a pause before continuation, and the Falling Window confirms a bearish gap.

Trend alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive of the sell signal: all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bearish, with the 30-minute and 1-hour showing very strong trend scores (4/5). This multi-timeframe confluence suggests that the downtrend is well-established and likely to persist. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 158.03900, which could act as a target if the selloff extends, and the nearest resistance at 159.67100, which serves as the immediate invalidation zone if price rallies above it. A break below support would open the door for further downside, while a sustained move above resistance would signal a potential trend reversal.
Catalysts
  • Trendline Break Down and Fibonacci Break Down at 24% retracement signal a resumption of the downtrend.
  • STOCHRSI KD Cross Down and TEMA Retreat Up confirm fading momentum and bearish pressure.
  • Strong bearish trend scores (4/5) on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes indicate robust trend alignment.
  • Falling Window candlestick pattern adds bearish conviction, suggesting a gap that may act as resistance.
Risk Factors
  • The BOP Zero Cross Up could indicate a short-term shift in buying pressure, potentially leading to a bounce.
  • Bullish Meeting Lines and Long Legged Doji may signal indecision or a potential reversal if price fails to break support.
  • A break above the nearest resistance at 159.67100 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • Although all timeframes are bearish, the 15-minute trend is only 'solid' (3/5), so a short-term pullback is possible before continuation.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-20 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 159.67100 2026-08-18
R2 159.77400 2026-08-18
S1 158.03900 2026-08-19

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