USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
92%
▲ Bullish 8% (3.27)
▼ Bearish 92% (35.50)
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Signal evolution
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYExports YoY (Jul)●●○Previous 19.3in 1h
- TodayJPYBalance of Trade (Jul)●●○Previous -406.9in 1h
- TomorrowUSDJobless Claims 4-week Average (Aug/15)●●○Forecast 200in 13h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.27 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.79 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▲ | TEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▲ | Bullish Meeting Lines | candlestick | 0.87 |
| ▼ | Falling Window | candlestick | 0.69 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.63 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNSolid trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals align on the 30-minute chart, including a trendline break, Fibonacci breakdown, and momentum crossovers.
- All timeframes are bearish, with the 30-minute and 1-hour showing very strong trend strength, confirming the downtrend.
- Watch the nearest support at 158.03900 as a potential downside target; a break below could accelerate selling.
- The nearest resistance at 159.67100 is the key level to monitor—if price reclaims it, the bearish setup is invalidated.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Fibonacci Break Down at the 24% retracement level, indicating that sellers have regained control after a corrective bounce. The momentum indicators corroborate this: a STOCHRSI KD Cross Down and a TEMA Retreat Up both point to fading upside momentum and renewed downward pressure. The BOP Zero Cross Up, while typically a short-term bullish signal, in this context appears to be a minor counter-trend blip within a broader downtrend, as the overall bearish bias is reinforced by the candlestick patterns—Bullish Meeting Lines and a Long Legged Doji—which, despite their names, often signal indecision or a pause before continuation, and the Falling Window confirms a bearish gap.
Trend alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive of the sell signal: all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bearish, with the 30-minute and 1-hour showing very strong trend scores (4/5). This multi-timeframe confluence suggests that the downtrend is well-established and likely to persist. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 158.03900, which could act as a target if the selloff extends, and the nearest resistance at 159.67100, which serves as the immediate invalidation zone if price rallies above it. A break below support would open the door for further downside, while a sustained move above resistance would signal a potential trend reversal.
Trend alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive of the sell signal: all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bearish, with the 30-minute and 1-hour showing very strong trend scores (4/5). This multi-timeframe confluence suggests that the downtrend is well-established and likely to persist. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 158.03900, which could act as a target if the selloff extends, and the nearest resistance at 159.67100, which serves as the immediate invalidation zone if price rallies above it. A break below support would open the door for further downside, while a sustained move above resistance would signal a potential trend reversal.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trendline Break Down and Fibonacci Break Down at 24% retracement signal a resumption of the downtrend.
- ▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down and TEMA Retreat Up confirm fading momentum and bearish pressure.
- ▼ Strong bearish trend scores (4/5) on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes indicate robust trend alignment.
- ▼ Falling Window candlestick pattern adds bearish conviction, suggesting a gap that may act as resistance.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up could indicate a short-term shift in buying pressure, potentially leading to a bounce.
- ▲ Bullish Meeting Lines and Long Legged Doji may signal indecision or a potential reversal if price fails to break support.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 159.67100 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
- ▲ Although all timeframes are bearish, the 15-minute trend is only 'solid' (3/5), so a short-term pullback is possible before continuation.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
92%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-20 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 159.67100 | 2026-08-18 |
| R2 | 159.77400 | 2026-08-18 |
| S1 | 158.03900 | 2026-08-19 |
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