EUR/USD – 1H – BUY
BUY
94%
▲ Bullish 94% (66.90)
▼ Bearish 6% (4.63)
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Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TodayEURBusiness Confidence (Aug)●●○Forecast 100Previous 101in 7m
- TodayEURNegotiated Wage Growth (Q2)●●○Forecast 2.5Previous 2.46in 2h
- TodayEURConsumer Confidence (Aug)●●○Forecast -16.7Previous -15.9in 7h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Rising Wedge | chart_pattern | 2.67 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.44 |
| ▲ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.13 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.02 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.97 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.93 |
| ▲ | MACD Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | APO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.05 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPVery strong trend
2HUPVery strong trend
4HUPVery strong trend
8HUPVery strong trend
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A very strong bullish signal on EUR/USD 1H, with 93% probability, driven by a confluence of trendline, pattern, and momentum signals.
- All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bullish, with 1H-8H showing very strong trends, indicating broad alignment.
- Key levels: resistance at 1.17102 and support at 1.16687; a break above resistance could extend the bullish move.
- Momentum indicators (MACD, APO, BOP, STOCHF) all confirm the bullish direction, but watch for potential exhaustion near resistance.
The EUR/USD 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 93% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of signals is notable: a Trendline Break Up and a Rising Wedge breakout indicate a bullish continuation, while the APO, BOP, and MACD Zero Cross Ups confirm momentum. The STOCHF KD Cross Up and WILLR OB Entry suggest strong buying pressure, and the EMA Retreat Up points to a pullback that has found support. This alignment is supported by a bullish trend across all timeframes, from 15m to 1D, with the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H all showing very strong trends (4/5).
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.17102 and support at 1.16687. The breakout and momentum signals suggest the pair is likely to test the resistance, and a break above could extend the move. However, the proximity of resistance is a caution, as a failure to break could lead to a pullback. The trend alignment across timeframes is a strong positive, but traders should monitor the 1H trend score and momentum indicators for any signs of fading, especially if price approaches resistance.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.17102 and support at 1.16687. The breakout and momentum signals suggest the pair is likely to test the resistance, and a break above could extend the move. However, the proximity of resistance is a caution, as a failure to break could lead to a pullback. The trend alignment across timeframes is a strong positive, but traders should monitor the 1H trend score and momentum indicators for any signs of fading, especially if price approaches resistance.
Catalysts
- ▲ Trendline Break Up and Rising Wedge breakout provide strong chart pattern confluence.
- ▲ Momentum indicators (APO, BOP, MACD, STOCHF) all showing zero-cross or cross-ups, confirming bullish momentum.
- ▲ EMA Retreat Up indicates a pullback that has been bought, with price above the EMA.
- ▲ Strong trend scores (4/5) across 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Nearest resistance at 1.17102 could cap upside and lead to a pullback if not broken.
- ▼ WILLR OB Entry suggests overbought conditions, which could lead to a short-term reversal.
- ▼ A failure to hold above support at 1.16687 would invalidate the bullish setup.
- ▼ While 1D is bullish, it is only a solid trend (3/5), so higher-timeframe momentum is not as strong as the lower timeframes.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Probability
94%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-21 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.17102 | 2026-08-20 |
| S1 | 1.16687 | 2026-08-20 |
| S2 | 1.15696 | 2026-08-19 |
| S3 | 1.15661 | 2026-08-18 |
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