USD/JPY 30M BUY

· 43 minutes ago
BUY
100%
▲ BUY
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +27%
▲ Bullish 100% (31.10) ▼ Bearish 0% (0.00)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
CCI OS Exit indicator 1.79
STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.68
Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.67
SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.61
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.56
STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.53
EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.50
KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.46
MA Retreat Up indicator 1.46
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.45
WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.40
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.25
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.08
Morning Star candlestick 1.02
DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 0.98
DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 0.87
Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 0.84
Three Line Strike - Bearish candlestick 0.83

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bullish reversal signal has fired on the 30-minute chart after oversold conditions.
  • The move is counter-trend: higher timeframes from 1H upward are still bearish.
  • Watch the 159.17900 resistance for confirmation of a sustained bounce.
  • A break below 158.19700 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum oscillators after a period of oversold conditions. The BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit all indicate that selling pressure has exhausted and buyers are stepping in. The DI Cross Up and DM Cross Up confirm a fresh bullish directional move, while the EMA 50 Retreat Up adds a trend-alignment element. Together, these signals point to a short-term bounce or reversal attempt within the 30-minute timeframe.

However, the broader picture is mixed. While the 15m, 30m, and 2h timeframes show bullish or forming bullish trends, the 1h, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes remain bearish with solid trend scores. This suggests the current bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 159.17900 is the key level to watch; a break above it could confirm a deeper correction, while failure to hold above it would keep the bearish bias intact. Support at 158.19700 is the immediate downside buffer.
Catalysts
  • Multiple oscillator exits from oversold levels (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) align, signaling a momentum shift.
  • DI and DM crosses confirm a fresh bullish directional move on the 30-minute timeframe.
  • EMA 50 Retreat Up adds trend alignment to the bullish case on the signal timeframe.
  • The 2-hour timeframe is showing a forming bullish trend, providing some higher-timeframe support.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (1H and above) are bearish with solid trend scores, suggesting the bounce may be counter-trend and limited.
  • The 15m and 30m trends are rated as choppy/sideways, indicating low conviction in the current move.
  • Resistance at 159.17900 is nearby and could cap upside if the bearish trend resumes.
  • A move below 158.19700 support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely trigger a resumption of the downtrend.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Probability 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-21 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 159.17900 2026-08-20
R2 159.67100 2026-08-18
R3 159.77400 2026-08-18
S1 158.19700 2026-08-20
S2 158.02100 2026-08-20

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