USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-08-24 20:00 UTC · 14 hours ago

BUY

90%

▲ BUY

VERY STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +60%

▲ Bullish 90% (39.23) ▼ Bearish 10% (4.16)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Up	trendline	2.86
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.32
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.76
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.71
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.45
▲	Trendline Retreat Up	trendline	1.41
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.14
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal on the 30m, but it is counter to the longer-term bearish trend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 159.27900 and support at 158.49600 for direction.
The signal is based on multiple indicators and patterns, adding confluence.
Higher timeframes remain bearish, so expect potential resistance near the 30m trendline or the 159.27900 level.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a trendline break up, a trendline retreat up, a BOP zero cross up, a STOCHF KD cross up, a BBANDS middle cross up, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, MA). This confluence suggests a short-term upward move within a broader bearish context. The probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction in the signal.

However, the higher timeframes are all bearish, with solid trends on the 4h through daily charts. This creates a conflict: the 30m bullish signal is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 159.27900 is a key level to watch; a break above could extend the bounce, while a failure to hold support at 158.49600 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a broader bearish trend, not a reversal signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators align on the 30m: trendline break, BOP zero cross, STOCHF KD cross, and moving average retreats.
▲ High probability and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence signal.
▲ The signal includes a trendline retreat, indicating a pullback to a broken level that may now act as support.
▲ The 30m bullish is a counter-trend move, which can be sharp and quick.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1h and above) are all bearish, so the 30m bullish is counter-trend and may fade quickly.
▼ The nearest resistance at 159.27900 is close; a failure to break above it could lead to a reversal.
▼ The 30m trend is choppy/sideways, so the signal may lack follow-through.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 158.49600, the bullish setup is invalidated.