AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (1.53)
▼ Bearish 96% (33.29)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▲ | RSX OB Exit | indicator | 1.85 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.46 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.40 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.12 |
| ▼ | Falling Window | candlestick | 0.76 |
| ▼ | Long Line Bearish | candlestick | 0.71 |
Trend Context
15MUPSolid trend
30MUPTrend forming
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPChoppy / sideways
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, but it's a short-term move against a bullish trend across all timeframes.
- Key levels: support at 113.61100, resistance at 114.03100; a break of support could extend the pullback.
- Multiple indicators (CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCH, BBANDS, SAR, AO, ER) align for a downside move, suggesting high conviction.
- Expect a pullback, not a trend reversal, given the bullish longer-term context.
A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the AUD/JPY 30-minute chart, led by a CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, SAR Flip Bearish, AO Saucer Bearish, and ER Level Cross Down, with additional confirmation from fibonacci, candlestick, support/resistance, and indicator groups. The confluence of these signals points to a short-term momentum shift to the downside, likely initiating a pullback or reversal from recent highs. The nearest resistance at 114.03100 and support at 113.61100 frame the immediate trading range, with a break below support potentially accelerating the move.
However, the broader trend context is notably bullish across all timeframes, with the 15m and 30m showing solid or forming trends, and higher timeframes ranging from choppy to forming. This creates a conflicting picture: the 30-minute bearish signal is a counter-trend move against the larger bullish structure. The probability of 91% and very strong strength suggest a high conviction in the short-term bearish move, but traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained downtrend. The signal is likely a corrective pullback within the larger uptrend, and the key levels to watch are the support at 113.61100 and resistance at 114.03100.
However, the broader trend context is notably bullish across all timeframes, with the 15m and 30m showing solid or forming trends, and higher timeframes ranging from choppy to forming. This creates a conflicting picture: the 30-minute bearish signal is a counter-trend move against the larger bullish structure. The probability of 91% and very strong strength suggest a high conviction in the short-term bearish move, but traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained downtrend. The signal is likely a corrective pullback within the larger uptrend, and the key levels to watch are the support at 113.61100 and resistance at 114.03100.
Catalysts
- ▼ High signal strength and probability (91%) from a dense cluster of 20+ indicators.
- ▼ Confluence of signals from different groups (indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, support/resistance).
- ▼ Immediate resistance at 114.03100 may cap upside, supporting the short-term bearish case.
- ▼ The 30-minute trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), allowing for a short-term shift.
Risk Factors
- ▲ All higher timeframes are bullish, which could overwhelm the short-term bearish signal.
- ▲ The 15-minute trend is solidly bullish (3/5), indicating that the pullback may be shallow.
- ▲ If the price holds above the nearest support at 113.61100, the bearish move could fade quickly.
- ▲ A break back above the 114.03100 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-26 00:05
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.03100 | 2026-08-25 |
| R2 | 114.04400 | 2026-08-25 |
| R3 | 114.06000 | 2026-08-24 |
| S1 | 113.61100 | 2026-08-25 |
| S2 | 113.54300 | 2026-08-24 |
| S3 | 113.42500 | 2026-08-21 |
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