AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
96%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +20%
▲ Bullish 4% (1.53) ▼ Bearish 96% (33.29)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
AO Saucer Bearish indicator 2.22
CCI OB Exit indicator 2.17
RSX OB Exit indicator 1.85
ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.80
SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.70
SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.63
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.55
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.55
ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.50
ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.47
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.46
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.41
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.40
KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.31
HMA Direction Down indicator 1.30
KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.25
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.12
Falling Window candlestick 0.76
Long Line Bearish candlestick 0.71

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, but it's a short-term move against a bullish trend across all timeframes.
  • Key levels: support at 113.61100, resistance at 114.03100; a break of support could extend the pullback.
  • Multiple indicators (CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCH, BBANDS, SAR, AO, ER) align for a downside move, suggesting high conviction.
  • Expect a pullback, not a trend reversal, given the bullish longer-term context.
A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the AUD/JPY 30-minute chart, led by a CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, SAR Flip Bearish, AO Saucer Bearish, and ER Level Cross Down, with additional confirmation from fibonacci, candlestick, support/resistance, and indicator groups. The confluence of these signals points to a short-term momentum shift to the downside, likely initiating a pullback or reversal from recent highs. The nearest resistance at 114.03100 and support at 113.61100 frame the immediate trading range, with a break below support potentially accelerating the move.

However, the broader trend context is notably bullish across all timeframes, with the 15m and 30m showing solid or forming trends, and higher timeframes ranging from choppy to forming. This creates a conflicting picture: the 30-minute bearish signal is a counter-trend move against the larger bullish structure. The probability of 91% and very strong strength suggest a high conviction in the short-term bearish move, but traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained downtrend. The signal is likely a corrective pullback within the larger uptrend, and the key levels to watch are the support at 113.61100 and resistance at 114.03100.
Catalysts
  • High signal strength and probability (91%) from a dense cluster of 20+ indicators.
  • Confluence of signals from different groups (indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, support/resistance).
  • Immediate resistance at 114.03100 may cap upside, supporting the short-term bearish case.
  • The 30-minute trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), allowing for a short-term shift.
Risk Factors
  • All higher timeframes are bullish, which could overwhelm the short-term bearish signal.
  • The 15-minute trend is solidly bullish (3/5), indicating that the pullback may be shallow.
  • If the price holds above the nearest support at 113.61100, the bearish move could fade quickly.
  • A break back above the 114.03100 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-26 00:05
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.03100 2026-08-25
R2 114.04400 2026-08-25
R3 114.06000 2026-08-24
S1 113.61100 2026-08-25
S2 113.54300 2026-08-24
S3 113.42500 2026-08-21

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