AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 38 minutes ago
SELL
85%
▼ SELL
STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +4%
▲ Bullish 15% (3.05) ▼ Bearish 85% (16.79)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Ascending Triangle chart_pattern 3.05
KST Signal Cross Down indicator 2.34
TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.49
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.44
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.37
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.24
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.15
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.03
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 0.95
QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 0.94
TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.68
HMA Direction Down indicator 0.65

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, including an Ascending Triangle breakdown and multiple momentum zero-crosses.
  • The signal is strong (84% probability) but conflicts with a uniformly bullish trend across all higher timeframes.
  • Key levels: resistance at 114.15700 and support at 113.94800; a break below support confirms the bearish move.
  • This is a counter-trend signal, so caution is advised; watch for confirmation on the 30-minute close.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an Ascending Triangle breakdown, multiple zero-line crosses in momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR), and a bearish STOCHF KD cross. The convergence of these indicators, along with DEMA and MIDPRICE retreats, points to a sharp loss of upside momentum and a potential reversal from the recent advance. The signal's strong probability (84%) reflects the breadth of confirmation across indicator groups: momentum, chart pattern, and support/resistance.

However, the broader trend context is uniformly bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, with the 30-minute timeframe itself showing a solid uptrend (3/5). This creates a clear conflict: the bearish signal is firing against the prevailing trend bias. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 114.15700 and support at 113.94800. A sustained break below support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a bounce off support could invalidate the signal and resume the uptrend. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend pullback until price action confirms the downside.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossed below their zero lines simultaneously, indicating strong bearish momentum.
  • The Ascending Triangle pattern breakdown provides a classic chart pattern confluence with the momentum signals.
  • The STOCHF KD cross down adds further confirmation of short-term bearish momentum.
  • The signal's high probability (84%) and strong strength suggest a high degree of alignment among the contributing indicators.
Risk Factors
  • The prevailing trend is bullish across all timeframes, with the 30-minute chart itself showing a solid uptrend; this bearish signal could be a mere pullback within the larger uptrend.
  • The nearest support at 113.94800 is relatively close, and a bounce off this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Higher timeframe trends (1h, 2h, 8h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to whipsaw price action.
  • If price fails to break below support and instead reclaims the resistance at 114.15700, the bearish thesis would be negated.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 85%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-08-26 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.15700 2026-08-21
S1 113.94800 2026-08-26
S2 113.61100 2026-08-25
S3 113.54300 2026-08-24

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