AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
85%
▲ Bullish 15% (3.05)
▼ Bearish 85% (16.79)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Ascending Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.05 |
| ▼ | KST Signal Cross Down | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▼ | TSI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.15 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.03 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.95 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.94 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 0.68 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 0.65 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPSolid trend
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HUPTrend forming
1DUPChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A dense cluster of bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, including an Ascending Triangle breakdown and multiple momentum zero-crosses.
- The signal is strong (84% probability) but conflicts with a uniformly bullish trend across all higher timeframes.
- Key levels: resistance at 114.15700 and support at 113.94800; a break below support confirms the bearish move.
- This is a counter-trend signal, so caution is advised; watch for confirmation on the 30-minute close.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including an Ascending Triangle breakdown, multiple zero-line crosses in momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR), and a bearish STOCHF KD cross. The convergence of these indicators, along with DEMA and MIDPRICE retreats, points to a sharp loss of upside momentum and a potential reversal from the recent advance. The signal's strong probability (84%) reflects the breadth of confirmation across indicator groups: momentum, chart pattern, and support/resistance.
However, the broader trend context is uniformly bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, with the 30-minute timeframe itself showing a solid uptrend (3/5). This creates a clear conflict: the bearish signal is firing against the prevailing trend bias. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 114.15700 and support at 113.94800. A sustained break below support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a bounce off support could invalidate the signal and resume the uptrend. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend pullback until price action confirms the downside.
However, the broader trend context is uniformly bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily, with the 30-minute timeframe itself showing a solid uptrend (3/5). This creates a clear conflict: the bearish signal is firing against the prevailing trend bias. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 114.15700 and support at 113.94800. A sustained break below support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a bounce off support could invalidate the signal and resume the uptrend. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend pullback until price action confirms the downside.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossed below their zero lines simultaneously, indicating strong bearish momentum.
- ▼ The Ascending Triangle pattern breakdown provides a classic chart pattern confluence with the momentum signals.
- ▼ The STOCHF KD cross down adds further confirmation of short-term bearish momentum.
- ▼ The signal's high probability (84%) and strong strength suggest a high degree of alignment among the contributing indicators.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The prevailing trend is bullish across all timeframes, with the 30-minute chart itself showing a solid uptrend; this bearish signal could be a mere pullback within the larger uptrend.
- ▲ The nearest support at 113.94800 is relatively close, and a bounce off this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Higher timeframe trends (1h, 2h, 8h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to whipsaw price action.
- ▲ If price fails to break below support and instead reclaims the resistance at 114.15700, the bearish thesis would be negated.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
85%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-08-26 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.15700 | 2026-08-21 |
| S1 | 113.94800 | 2026-08-26 |
| S2 | 113.61100 | 2026-08-25 |
| S3 | 113.54300 | 2026-08-24 |
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