EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY
98%
▲ Bullish 98% (78.24)
▼ Bearish 2% (1.34)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.52 |
| ▲ | Trendline Retreat Up | trendline | 2.34 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 2.24 |
| ▲ | HMA Retreat Up | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▲ | QSTICK Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▲ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▲ | HMA Direction Up | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 1.16 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple momentum and trendline signals are firing bullish on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a short-term bounce.
- The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal with limited upside potential.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 185.77100 and support at 185.53400 for direction.
- The signal is very strong (96% probability), but the bearish higher-timeframe trend warrants caution.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators, including a Trendline Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Weak, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, and HMA Retreat Up, among others. This confluence suggests short-term buying pressure is building, likely reflecting a bounce off the trendline and a shift in momentum. However, the broader trend across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, remains bearish and mostly choppy or sideways, with trend scores at 1/5 or 2/5. This indicates that the bullish signal is counter-trend and may represent a corrective move within a larger downtrend.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 185.77100 and support at 185.53400. A break above resistance could open the door for further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the very strong probability (96%) and strength, the signal is compelling, but traders should remain cautious due to the bearish higher-timeframe context. The alignment of multiple momentum oscillators and the trendline retreat suggest a short-term long opportunity, but any move should be managed with tight risk controls given the conflicting trend direction.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 185.77100 and support at 185.53400. A break above resistance could open the door for further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the very strong probability (96%) and strength, the signal is compelling, but traders should remain cautious due to the bearish higher-timeframe context. The alignment of multiple momentum oscillators and the trendline retreat suggest a short-term long opportunity, but any move should be managed with tight risk controls given the conflicting trend direction.
Catalysts
- ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, ERI, BOP) all crossing above zero.
- ▲ Trendline Retreat Up indicates price is bouncing off a trendline, a classic bullish reversal pattern.
- ▲ HMA Retreat Up suggests the Hull Moving Average is turning higher, supporting short-term momentum.
- ▲ Very strong signal strength and high probability (96%) indicate robust technical alignment.
Risk Factors
- ▼ Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are all bearish, so the bullish signal may be a counter-trend correction that could fade.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 185.53400, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ The bearish trend scores (1/5) indicate weak trend strength, which could lead to choppy, sideways price action.
- ▼ Resistance at 185.77100 may cap upside, especially if the broader downtrend resumes.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
BUY
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-27 19:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 185.77100 | 2026-08-27 |
| R2 | 185.91100 | 2026-08-26 |
| R3 | 185.92300 | 2026-08-25 |
| S1 | 185.53400 | 2026-08-27 |
| S2 | 185.46300 | 2026-08-27 |
| S3 | 185.34700 | 2026-08-26 |
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