EUR/JPY – 2H – BUY
BUY
98%
▲ Bullish 98% (127.61)
▼ Bearish 2% (2.99)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 3.01 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.76 |
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.67 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.63 |
| ▲ | MIDPRICE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.53 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Retreat Up | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.32 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▲ | AROON Cross Up | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | AROONOSC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▲ | AROON Strong Uptrend | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.46 |
| ▲ | KST Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▲ | HMA Direction Up | indicator | 1.25 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 1.07 |
Trend Context
15MUPTrend forming
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HUPChoppy / sideways
2HUPChoppy / sideways
4HUPChoppy / sideways
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A strong bullish signal has fired on the 2H chart, with multiple momentum indicators aligning to confirm a trend reversal or breakout.
- The immediate upside target is the resistance at 185.948, while support at 185.347 is the critical level to watch for invalidation.
- The bullish momentum is strongest on the lower timeframes, but the higher timeframes remain bearish, suggesting this could be a corrective rally within a larger downtrend.
- The signal's high probability and strength indicate a high-confidence setup, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher-timeframe trend.
The EUR/JPY 2H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The break of a downtrend line, combined with AROON crossing up into a strong uptrend and the AROONOSC zero cross, signals a definitive shift in short-term momentum. This is reinforced by the BOP zero cross up, indicating buying pressure, and the STOCHF KD cross up alongside a WILLR overbought entry, suggesting strong bullish momentum. The EMA retreat up adds a further layer of confirmation, pointing to a pullback within an emerging uptrend that is now resuming.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bullish in the short term. The 15m to 2H timeframes all show bullish trends, albeit choppy and sideways, indicating the new bullish momentum is still forming. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, which could act as a ceiling on the rally. The nearest resistance at 185.948 is the immediate upside target, while support at 185.347 is the key level to hold. A break above resistance could open the door to further gains, but the bearish higher timeframe trend suggests this may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bullish in the short term. The 15m to 2H timeframes all show bullish trends, albeit choppy and sideways, indicating the new bullish momentum is still forming. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, which could act as a ceiling on the rally. The nearest resistance at 185.948 is the immediate upside target, while support at 185.347 is the key level to hold. A break above resistance could open the door to further gains, but the bearish higher timeframe trend suggests this may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
Catalysts
- ▲ The confluence of multiple bullish signals, including the trendline break, AROON cross up, and BOP zero cross up, provides a strong technical case for buying.
- ▲ The EMA retreat up suggests that the pullback is over and the uptrend is resuming, adding to the bullish momentum.
- ▲ The bullish trend across all timeframes from 15m to 2H, even if choppy, indicates that the short-term direction is aligned with the signal.
- ▲ The strong trend scores and high probability (96%) reflect a robust setup with multiple indicators in agreement.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, which could limit the upside or lead to a reversal if the broader downtrend resumes.
- ▼ The choppy and sideways nature of the trends on the 1H and 2H timeframes suggests that momentum may be weak and prone to whipsaws.
- ▼ A break below the nearest support at 185.347 would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a sharp decline.
- ▼ The WILLR overbought entry suggests the pair may be overextended in the short term, increasing the risk of a pullback or consolidation.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
BUY
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-28 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 185.94800 | 2026-08-25 |
| R2 | 186.01500 | 2026-08-21 |
| R3 | 187.46700 | 2026-07-29 |
| S1 | 185.34700 | 2026-08-26 |
| S2 | 185.16100 | 2026-08-24 |
| S3 | 183.92300 | 2026-08-19 |
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