EUR/JPY 30M SELL

· 1 day ago
SELL
98%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.09) ▼ Bearish 98% (67.25)
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.53
ADX Trend Strong indicator 2.18
MA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.91
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.91
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.90
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.87
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.86
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.82
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.81
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.74
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.64
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.64
KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.42
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.40
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.28
Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart: trendline break, ADX strength, and multiple moving-average retreats all align.
  • Immediate downside target is the nearest support at 185.49100; nearest resistance at 185.98100 is the key invalidation zone.
  • Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M) are trending bearish, while higher timeframes are bearish but choppy, so this is likely a short-term move.
  • Watch for a reclaim of the broken trendline or a push above resistance to signal a failed breakout.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Down and a Trendline Break Down, with additional confirmation from ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE). This confluence of trend, momentum, and volatility signals points to a strong bearish push that has broken below a key trendline, with the nearest support at 185.49100 as the immediate downside target. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are both bearish and trending, aligning with the signal's direction, while higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D) are also bearish but choppy/sideways, suggesting that the bearish momentum is primarily a short-term move within a broader consolidation.

The 8-hour timeframe is the only bullish outlier, but it is also choppy, so it does not currently provide strong conflicting pressure. The signal's very strong strength and high probability (94%) are supported by the sheer number of confirming indicators, but the choppy nature of the higher timeframes means that the move could be part of a range-bound market rather than the start of a sustained trend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 185.98100, which should now act as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 185.49100, which is the first major downside target. A break below that support would open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of the broken trendline or a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Trendline Retreat Down and Trendline Break Down provide strong technical confluence.
  • ADX Trend Strong indicates the bearish trend has solid momentum.
  • Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE) all retreating in the same direction.
  • BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (1H and above) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the follow-through of the bearish move.
  • The 8H timeframe is bullish, though choppy, which could provide a counter-trend bid.
  • A move back above the nearest resistance at 185.98100 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Momentum could fade if the price stalls at the nearest support without a clean break.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-28 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 185.98100 2026-08-28
S1 185.49100 2026-08-27
S2 185.46300 2026-08-27
S3 185.34700 2026-08-26

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