EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
98%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.09)
▼ Bearish 98% (67.25)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.53 |
| ▲ | ADX Trend Strong | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.82 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.64 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.64 |
| ▼ | KST Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▲ | AO Saucer Bullish | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.40 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.94 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HDOWNChoppy / sideways
8HUPChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNChoppy / sideways
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart: trendline break, ADX strength, and multiple moving-average retreats all align.
- Immediate downside target is the nearest support at 185.49100; nearest resistance at 185.98100 is the key invalidation zone.
- Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M) are trending bearish, while higher timeframes are bearish but choppy, so this is likely a short-term move.
- Watch for a reclaim of the broken trendline or a push above resistance to signal a failed breakout.
The EUR/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Down and a Trendline Break Down, with additional confirmation from ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE). This confluence of trend, momentum, and volatility signals points to a strong bearish push that has broken below a key trendline, with the nearest support at 185.49100 as the immediate downside target. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are both bearish and trending, aligning with the signal's direction, while higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D) are also bearish but choppy/sideways, suggesting that the bearish momentum is primarily a short-term move within a broader consolidation.
The 8-hour timeframe is the only bullish outlier, but it is also choppy, so it does not currently provide strong conflicting pressure. The signal's very strong strength and high probability (94%) are supported by the sheer number of confirming indicators, but the choppy nature of the higher timeframes means that the move could be part of a range-bound market rather than the start of a sustained trend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 185.98100, which should now act as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 185.49100, which is the first major downside target. A break below that support would open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of the broken trendline or a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 8-hour timeframe is the only bullish outlier, but it is also choppy, so it does not currently provide strong conflicting pressure. The signal's very strong strength and high probability (94%) are supported by the sheer number of confirming indicators, but the choppy nature of the higher timeframes means that the move could be part of a range-bound market rather than the start of a sustained trend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 185.98100, which should now act as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 185.49100, which is the first major downside target. A break below that support would open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of the broken trendline or a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Trendline Retreat Down and Trendline Break Down provide strong technical confluence.
- ▼ ADX Trend Strong indicates the bearish trend has solid momentum.
- ▼ Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE) all retreating in the same direction.
- ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the follow-through of the bearish move.
- ▲ The 8H timeframe is bullish, though choppy, which could provide a counter-trend bid.
- ▲ A move back above the nearest resistance at 185.98100 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls at the nearest support without a clean break.
Symbol
EUR/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-28 20:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 185.98100 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 185.49100 | 2026-08-27 |
| S2 | 185.46300 | 2026-08-27 |
| S3 | 185.34700 | 2026-08-26 |
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