AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
97%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.03)
▼ Bearish 97% (31.71)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.51 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.84 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.81 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 1.19 |
| ▲ | BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up | indicator | 1.03 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNVery strong trend
30MDOWNExtremely strong trend
1HDOWNExtremely strong trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNSolid trend
8HDOWNTrend forming
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNChoppy / sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with multiple confirmations.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but strength fades on higher timeframes.
- Resistance at 113.96900 is the key level to watch for potential reversals.
- No immediate support level provided; watch for new lows or a bounce.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a trendline break down, a BOP zero cross down, and a STOCHF KD cross down, alongside multiple retreats (BBANDS LOWER, DEMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) and additional confirmations. The signal strength is very strong with a 96% probability, and the bearish trend is consistent across lower timeframes, with extremely strong trend scores on the 30-minute and 1-hour charts, and solid bearish alignment on the 4-hour. However, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) show only forming or choppy trends, indicating that the bearish momentum is primarily a lower-timeframe event.
Immediate resistance is at 113.96900, which should act as a ceiling for any pullback. Since no nearest support is provided, traders should watch for the next support level on the lower timeframes, but the lack of a defined support suggests room for further downside if the trend continues. The confluence of indicator, candlestick, and trendline signals strengthens the bearish case, but the mixed higher-timeframe picture warrants caution.
Immediate resistance is at 113.96900, which should act as a ceiling for any pullback. Since no nearest support is provided, traders should watch for the next support level on the lower timeframes, but the lack of a defined support suggests room for further downside if the trend continues. The confluence of indicator, candlestick, and trendline signals strengthens the bearish case, but the mixed higher-timeframe picture warrants caution.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple indicators align bearishly (trendline break, BOP, STOCHF, and retreats).
- ▼ Very strong trend scores on 30m and 1h timeframes support continuation.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, even if weaker on higher ones.
- ▼ Signal probability of 96% and very strong strength indicate high conviction.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8h and above) show only forming or choppy trends, which may limit downside follow-through.
- ▲ If price breaks above 113.96900, the bearish setup is invalidated.
- ▲ Momentum could fade quickly given the lack of support levels below, leading to a bounce.
- ▲ The 1-day timeframe is sideways, suggesting the pair may be in a broader range.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-03 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 113.96900 | 2026-09-02 |
| R2 | 114.15600 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 114.66700 | 2026-09-02 |
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