EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

2026-09-04 20:00 UTC · 21 hours ago

SELL

95%

▼ SELL

VERY STRONG

Intraday

Prognose: 61% historisch

⚡ Confluence +47%

▲ Bullish 5% (2.66) ▼ Bearish 95% (49.09)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	2.22
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	1.98
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	Resistance Level Retreat Down	sr	1.82
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.35
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.32
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.24
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.06
▲	Upside Gap Three Method	candlestick	0.98
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.92
▼	Evening Star	candlestick	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart points to continued downside in the short term.
The trend is bearish across all lower timeframes (15m to 8h), but the 12h and daily trends are still bullish, so this is likely a corrective move.
Watch the nearest support at 1.15658; a break below it would confirm further downside, while resistance at 1.16407 caps any bounce.
The high probability (94%) and very strong strength suggest the bearish move has momentum, but higher timeframe bullish trends warrant caution.

The EUR/USD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by multiple momentum and volatility indicators crossing below their midlines or zero lines, including BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, and BBANDS MIDDLE. The MAMA and TEMA retreats confirm that price is pulling back from recent highs, and the overall signal strength is very strong with a 94% probability, suggesting a high-conviction bearish move in the short term.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from the 15-minute up to the 8-hour chart, though the trend is only solid on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes, while the 2H, 4H, and 8H are still forming. The 12-hour and daily charts remain bullish, which creates a potential conflict on higher timeframes. The immediate focus is on the nearest support at 1.15658; a break below that level could open the door to further downside, while the nearest resistance at 1.16407 acts as the first barrier for any bounce.

Catalysts

▼ A dense cluster of 18 bearish signals, including trendline break, momentum crossovers, and moving average retreats, all aligning on the 2H chart.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes (15m to 8h), with solid trends on the 30m and 1h charts.
▼ MAMA and TEMA retreats confirm price is pulling back from highs, adding confluence to the bearish signal.
▼ The signal's very strong strength and 94% probability reflect high conviction in the move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 12-hour and daily timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the current bearish move is only a correction within a larger uptrend.
▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 1.15658, the bearish signal could lose momentum and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15-minute trend is choppy and sideways, indicating some near-term uncertainty despite the overall bearish bias.
▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 1.16407 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest a return to the higher timeframe uptrend.