USD/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
97%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.27)
▼ Bearish 97% (35.38)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.97 |
| ▼ | SMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.74 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 1.00 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / sideways
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with probability rated at 100%.
- Momentum and trend indicators are all aligned lower across multiple timeframes, supporting the sell signal.
- Watch nearest resistance at 156.44300 as a ceiling; a break below nearest support at 155.28800 would confirm further downside.
- The bearish trend is strongest on the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes, adding weight to the signal.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, alongside multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, MA, SMA) and a HT Trendline retreat. This broad alignment of momentum, trend, and moving-average indicators points to a strong downward push, with the signal probability rated at 100% and strength very strong. The bearish momentum is supported by the trend structure across timeframes: while the 15-minute chart is choppy, the 30-minute is forming a trend, and the 1-hour through daily timeframes all show solid to very strong bearish trends, with the 2-hour and 4-hour rated at 4/5. This multi-timeframe confluence suggests the current selloff has solid backing and is likely to continue.
Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 156.44300 and nearest support at 155.28800. The price is currently below the resistance, which now acts as a ceiling, and a break below support would confirm further downside. The signal groups include indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, and sr, adding confluence from Fibonacci retracements, candlestick patterns, and support/resistance levels. Traders should monitor whether the price respects the resistance and pushes toward support, while keeping an eye on any reversal signals that could invalidate the bearish setup.
Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 156.44300 and nearest support at 155.28800. The price is currently below the resistance, which now acts as a ceiling, and a break below support would confirm further downside. The signal groups include indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, and sr, adding confluence from Fibonacci retracements, candlestick patterns, and support/resistance levels. Traders should monitor whether the price respects the resistance and pushes toward support, while keeping an eye on any reversal signals that could invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHRSI) all crossing below key levels, showing strong bearish momentum.
- ▼ Moving average retreats (EMA 50, MA, SMA) and HT Trendline retreat confirm the downtrend.
- ▼ Multi-timeframe trend alignment: all timeframes from 30 minutes to daily are bearish, with the 2-hour and 4-hour showing very strong trends.
- ▼ Signal groups include fibonacci and support/resistance, adding confluence to the bearish setup.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 15-minute timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term whipsaws.
- ▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 156.44300 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The signal is on a 30-minute timeframe; a reversal on a higher timeframe, such as the 4-hour or daily, could override the signal.
- ▲ Watch for any bullish candlestick patterns or momentum divergence that could signal a fading of the downtrend.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
97%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-04 18:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 156.44300 | 2026-09-04 |
| R2 | 159.00900 | 2026-09-02 |
| R3 | 160.38900 | 2026-09-02 |
| S1 | 155.28800 | 2026-09-04 |
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