USD/JPY 30M SELL

· 1 day ago
SELL
97%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +47%
▲ Bullish 3% (1.27) ▼ Bearish 97% (35.38)
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.00
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.97
SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.88
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.86
EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.80
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.74
STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.54
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.50
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.42
CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.37
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, with probability rated at 100%.
  • Momentum and trend indicators are all aligned lower across multiple timeframes, supporting the sell signal.
  • Watch nearest resistance at 156.44300 as a ceiling; a break below nearest support at 155.28800 would confirm further downside.
  • The bearish trend is strongest on the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes, adding weight to the signal.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, alongside multiple moving average retreats (EMA 50, MA, SMA) and a HT Trendline retreat. This broad alignment of momentum, trend, and moving-average indicators points to a strong downward push, with the signal probability rated at 100% and strength very strong. The bearish momentum is supported by the trend structure across timeframes: while the 15-minute chart is choppy, the 30-minute is forming a trend, and the 1-hour through daily timeframes all show solid to very strong bearish trends, with the 2-hour and 4-hour rated at 4/5. This multi-timeframe confluence suggests the current selloff has solid backing and is likely to continue.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 156.44300 and nearest support at 155.28800. The price is currently below the resistance, which now acts as a ceiling, and a break below support would confirm further downside. The signal groups include indicator, fibonacci, candlestick, and sr, adding confluence from Fibonacci retracements, candlestick patterns, and support/resistance levels. Traders should monitor whether the price respects the resistance and pushes toward support, while keeping an eye on any reversal signals that could invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHRSI) all crossing below key levels, showing strong bearish momentum.
  • Moving average retreats (EMA 50, MA, SMA) and HT Trendline retreat confirm the downtrend.
  • Multi-timeframe trend alignment: all timeframes from 30 minutes to daily are bearish, with the 2-hour and 4-hour showing very strong trends.
  • Signal groups include fibonacci and support/resistance, adding confluence to the bearish setup.
Risk Factors
  • The 15-minute timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term whipsaws.
  • A break back above the nearest resistance at 156.44300 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The signal is on a 30-minute timeframe; a reversal on a higher timeframe, such as the 4-hour or daily, could override the signal.
  • Watch for any bullish candlestick patterns or momentum divergence that could signal a fading of the downtrend.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-04 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 156.44300 2026-09-04
R2 159.00900 2026-09-02
R3 160.38900 2026-09-02
S1 155.28800 2026-09-04

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