AUD/JPY 2H SELL

· 34 minutes ago
SELL
93%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +44%
▲ Bullish 7% (3.42) ▼ Bearish 93% (43.43)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Rectangle chart_pattern 3.38
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.72
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.53
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.21
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 1.98
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.93
ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.70
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.38
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.36
ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.05
CTI OS Entry indicator 1.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish alignment across multiple timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h) supports a selling stance.
  • Trendline break and rectangle pattern reinforce chart-level top pressure.
  • BOP cross below zero and multiple price retreats confirm downward momentum.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 114.66700; a break above it invalidates the bearish case.
Multiple bearish signals have aligned on AUD/JPY's 2H chart, with a very strong trend score and 92% probability. A Trendline Break Down and a Rectangle pattern pointing down suggest a continuation of selling pressure, while BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying/selling balance. Concurrent bearish retreat signals across DEMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE underscore a broad-based downward momentum across the 2H timeframe. These are further supported by bearish trends across the 15m, 30m, 1h, 4h, and 8h timeframes, with very strong trend scores on key horizons.

A key watch point is the nearest resistance at 114.66700, which is likely to act as a ceiling if price retraces. A break back above this level could invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, since no nearest support is defined, bears should monitor 114.66700 as the immediate pivot. The consistency across multiple timeframes and the combination of chart pattern, indicator, and trendline signals reinforce the bearish view while failure to hold below resistance could reverse the setup.
Catalysts
  • Multi-timeframe agreement: bearish on 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h with very strong trend on 2h and 4h.
  • Confluence of pattern and indicator signals: Trendline Break Down plus Rectangle, BOP cross zero, and multiple retreats.
  • Strong trend strength and high probability (92%) indicate robust bearish conviction.
  • Momentum indicators (DEMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) all retreating simultaneously, adding weight to the move.
Risk Factors
  • A close above the 114.66700 resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger short-covering.
  • Longer-term trend is less defined: 12h shows trend forming and 1d is choppy/sideways, meaning the larger picture lacks strong conviction.
  • If price fails to continue lower after breaking support, it may form a bull trap, given the 2H timeframe may see Whipsaws.
  • With no clear support level nearby, the trend could be vulnerable to sharp V-shaped reversals.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-07 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.66700 2026-09-02
R2 114.95600 2026-08-28

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