AUD/JPY 30M SELL

· 42 minutes ago
SELL
89%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 46% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 11% (8.00) ▼ Bearish 89% (61.45)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Bear Flag chart_pattern 2.89
KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.59
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.52
Trendline Break Down trendline 2.47
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
ADXR Trend Strong indicator 2.26
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.88
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.86
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.85
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.67
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.63
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.43
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.38
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34
TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.06
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.77
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.76
HMA Direction Down indicator 0.73

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The trend is bearish across virtually all timeframes, with strongest alignment in the 2H and 4H charts.
  • A Trendline Break Down and Bear Flag pattern both point to a continuation of the sell-off.
  • Momentum oscillators (RSI-led STOCH, BOP, and WILLR) are all aligning to the downside.
  • The 112.61100 resistance level is the key upside boundary to watch.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with a very strong overall strength and an 89% probability reading. The signal set includes a Trendline Break Down, a Bear Flag continuation pattern, an ADXR Trend Strong reading confirming a mature trend, plus a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a WILLR OS Entry, all pointing toward sustained downside pressure. The additional DEMA Retreat Down and the broader set of indicator and chart-pattern signals align with a clear bearish narrative, with confluence coming from multiple independent signal groups: indicator, fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, and chart_pattern.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and solid. The 2-hour and 4-hour charts rate the trend as very strong, while the 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 8-hour charts all show a solid bearish alignment. The 12-hour chart is still building its trend, and the daily chart remains choppy, so the strength is most pronounced at the lower to mid timeframes. The nearest resistance sits at 112.611, which is the key level to watch for any potential bounce or reversal in this downtrend.
Catalysts
  • Very strong trend strength scores on the 2H and 4H timeframes (4/5) show deep downside momentum.
  • Multiple signal groups (indicator, fibonacci, trendline, candlestick, chart pattern) all agree on the same direction.
  • A high probability rating at 89% and very strong signal strength underscore the conviction in the move.
  • The nearby resistance level will likely cap any attempted recovery.
Risk Factors
  • The daily chart is choppy and trendless, which could lead to a sharp reversal if the broader sentiment flips.
  • A move above the nearest resistance at 112.61100 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup.
  • The 1H and 12H trends are only 'solid' or 'forming', leaving a slightly weaker mid-term support for the move.
  • The high strength also implies the move may be mature, increasing the risk of a pullback.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-07 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 112.61100 2026-09-04
R2 112.78300 2026-09-04
R3 113.96900 2026-09-02

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