USD/JPY – 4H – SELL
SELL
82%
▲ Bullish 18% (3.99)
▼ Bearish 82% (18.26)
Loading…
Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 2.42 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | Bear Flag | chart_pattern | 1.78 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | Below The Stomach | candlestick | 1.05 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.96 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNSolid trend
30MDOWNVery strong trend
1HDOWNVery strong trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNVery strong trend
8HDOWNSolid trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A clear bearish alignment across four higher timeframes supports the continuation of the down move.
- The Trendline Break Down and Bear Flag are the most reliable pattern signals for a downside continuation.
- Resistance at 195.389 is the nearest possible point of rejection; a sustained break below that would confirm the move.
- Watch for a temporary bounce that might shake out the trend; the candlestick patterns suggest a pause is likely before the next leg lower.
The 4H chart for USD/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Bear Flag, both pointing to a continuation of the downtrend. Momentum is aligned across multiple timeframes, with the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h all showing very strong bearish trends, while the 15m and daily charts also support the downside. The confluence of a KDJ Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, and a BOP Zero Cross Up into bearish territory suggests selling pressure is still gaining strength, and the bearish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami Cross, Long Legged Doji, Below The Stomach) reflect a market that is rejecting any short-term bullish attempts. The nearest resistance at 160.38900 is the key level to watch for the downside to continue; a clear break below the recent lows would likely accelerate the move downwards.
However, the lack of a defined nearest support level means price could seek out lower levels without a clear floor, which could make the decline sharp but also increases the risk of a sharp head fake. The lower timeframes (15m) show a solid but not a very strong trend, which is typical of a market that is still building downside momentum. The mixed signal set is not fully aligned, as the candlestick patterns are more indicative of a continuation after a brief pause, not necessarily a fresh breakdown. The current state of the dollar is dominated by trend strength, but a weak bounce towards the resistance could quickly invalidate the setup and pull the price back above the trendline.
However, the lack of a defined nearest support level means price could seek out lower levels without a clear floor, which could make the decline sharp but also increases the risk of a sharp head fake. The lower timeframes (15m) show a solid but not a very strong trend, which is typical of a market that is still building downside momentum. The mixed signal set is not fully aligned, as the candlestick patterns are more indicative of a continuation after a brief pause, not necessarily a fresh breakdown. The current state of the dollar is dominated by trend strength, but a weak bounce towards the resistance could quickly invalidate the setup and pull the price back above the trendline.
Catalysts
- ▼ Strong trend scores of 4/5 on 30m, 1h, 2h, and 4h underline a robust bearish momentum.
- ▼ The BOP Zero Cross Up confirms the shift in buying pressure to weakness, aligning with the drop.
- ▼ The cluster of bearish candlestick patterns around the break adds a medical confluence of sellers.
- ▼ The breakout of the trendline is a reliable trigger for a follow-through move in order.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The nearest support is undefined, so prices could fall further than expected, but a lack of a floor may cause retail traders to step in for a cushion.
- ▲ The 15m trend is only 'moderate' (3/5) — a failed bounce here could delay the broader downside.
- ▲ A break back above the trendline and above 195.389 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Given the Long Legged Doji, watch for a potential small bounce, but it is best seen as a selling opportunity if it fails.
Symbol
USD/JPY
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Probability
82%
Strength
STRONG
Date
2026-09-07 12:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 160.38900 | 2026-09-02 |
| R2 | 163.94700 | 2026-07-28 |
Similar Signals
↓
XRP/USDT –
30M –
SELL
2026-09-07 16:00
Trendline Break Down
↑
TRX/USDT –
30M –
BUY
2026-09-07 16:00
Trendline Break Up + 3 more
↑
SOL/BTC –
30M –
BUY
2026-09-07 16:00
Trendline Break Down + 2 more
↑
ETH/USDT –
30M –
BUY
2026-09-07 16:00
Trendline Break Down + 1 more
↑
BNB/USDT –
30M –
BUY
2026-09-07 16:00
Trendline Break Down + 1 more