AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

2026-09-09 15:30 UTC · 49 minutes ago

SELL

71%

▼ SELL

MODERATE

Scalping

Prognose: 35% historisch

⚡ Confluence +2%

▲ Bullish 29% (11.10) ▼ Bearish 71% (27.38)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.37
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.30
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)	fibonacci	2.28
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.25
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.24
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.16
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.15
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals align on the 30M, including BOP, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA retreats, confirming downside momentum.
The trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest conviction on the 4H (5/5) and 2H (4/5), supporting the sell signal.
Resistance at 111.49800 is the key invalidation level; support at 110.64000 is the immediate target.
The counter-trend momentum cross-ups are likely noise within the broader downtrend, not reversal signals.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, with the BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down all aligning to confirm selling pressure. The MOM, ROC, and ROCR Zero Cross Up signals appear counter-trend, but they are likely reflecting short-term oversold bounces within a broader downtrend rather than a reversal. The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up adds nuance, hinting at a possible minor pullback, yet the overall signal stack remains firmly bearish.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is compelling: the 4H shows an extremely strong downtrend (5/5), the 2H is very strong (4/5), and the 1H is solid (3/5). The 30M is trending (2/5), while the 15M is choppy, suggesting the immediate term may see oscillation but the larger bias is down. The 8H and 12H both hold solid bearish trends, reinforcing the medium-term view. The nearest resistance at 111.49800 is a key ceiling; a break above it would weaken the bearish case. Support at 110.64000 is the immediate downside target, and a sustained break could open further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish alignment across higher timeframes (4H and 2H) provides a solid foundation for the sell signal.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups—momentum, trend, and volatility—all pointing in the same direction.
▼ The 30M trend is forming (2/5), suggesting the current move is early in its development, with room to extend.
▼ Resistance at 111.49800 is unbroken, keeping the bearish structure intact.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M is choppy and sideways, which could lead to whipsaws and temporary pullbacks against the sell.
▲ The MOM, ROC, and ROCR Zero Cross Up signals may indicate short-term buying pressure that could stall the decline.
▲ If price breaks above 111.49800, the bearish thesis is invalidated, and a retest of higher levels could occur.
▲ The 1D timeframe is only a forming trend (2/5), suggesting the daily bias is not yet fully confirmed, which could limit the depth of the move.