GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (3.41)
▼ Bearish 95% (65.19)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.31 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.26 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 1.65 |
| ▼ | FISHER Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 0.95 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.94 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 0.71 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNSolid trend
2HDOWNVery strong trend
4HDOWNExtremely strong trend
8HDOWNVery strong trend
12HDOWNSolid trend
1DDOWNTrend forming
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- All timeframes are bearish; the 4H and 2H are very strong, indicating a confirmed downtrend.
- The dense cluster of retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) and the BOP zero cross point to renewed selling pressure.
- Watch the 30M support at 207.08700: a break would open the next leg lower, while a hold and rebound back above 209.03700 would invalidate.
- The 30M is only 'trend forming', so expect possible choppiness before a decisive move.
The 30-minute GBP/JPY chart has fired a dense bearish signal cluster, headlined by a BOP Zero Cross Down and an unusually high 96% probability with very strong strength. The confluence extends across eight indicator groups—including DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, and MIDPOINT retreat downs, plus a HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down—pointing to broad-based selling pressure. These signals align with a cleanly bearish picture across all monitored timeframes: the 4H is in an extremely strong trend (5/5), the 2H and 8H are very strong (4/5), and even the shorter 15M and 30M show bearish, though trend-forming, structure. The fact that longer timeframes are stronger than the 30M suggests this is more than a transient pullback; it looks like a well-established downtrend that is now pressuring the intraday level.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 209.03700 and support at 207.08700. The immediate bias is bearish, with a likely test toward the support. However, the signal is trading a forming trend on the 30M itself, so the probability score carries weight but should be weighed against the still-developing nature of that timeframe. A break and close back above 209.03700 would invalidate the short-term bearish setup and point to a possible pullback, whereas a sustained move through 207.08700 would confirm downside continuation. The strong trend scores on the 4H and higher are the backbone of this signal, but the 30M being trend-forming suggests the move may not be perfectly linear.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 209.03700 and support at 207.08700. The immediate bias is bearish, with a likely test toward the support. However, the signal is trading a forming trend on the 30M itself, so the probability score carries weight but should be weighed against the still-developing nature of that timeframe. A break and close back above 209.03700 would invalidate the short-term bearish setup and point to a possible pullback, whereas a sustained move through 207.08700 would confirm downside continuation. The strong trend scores on the 4H and higher are the backbone of this signal, but the 30M being trend-forming suggests the move may not be perfectly linear.
Catalysts
- ▼ Extremely strong trend on the 4H (5/5) and very strong on 2H and 8H provide powerful confluence with the signal.
- ▼ Multiple moving averages and KAMA have turned down, confirming the bearish shift in momentum.
- ▼ The BOP zero cross down adds a volume-flow confirmation to the retreat signals, reinforcing the selling conviction.
- ▼ All timeframes are bearish, so there is no direct conflicting signal to undermine the short.
Risk Factors
- ▲ The 30M signal itself is only 'trend forming' (2/5), which could lead to sideways or low-quality moves before continuation.
- ▲ A spike above nearest resistance at 209.037 would invalidate the bearish setup and might wipe out the signal probability.
- ▲ If the 4H extremely strong trend suddenly stalls (which can happen), the signal could be a lagging exhaust.
- ▲ The 15M is the weakest, so an intraday bounce could delay the breakdown to support.
Symbol
GBP/JPY
Timeframe
30M
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-09 06:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 209.03700 | 2026-09-08 |
| R2 | 211.25400 | 2026-09-04 |
| R3 | 211.80800 | 2026-09-04 |
| S1 | 207.08700 | 2026-09-08 |
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