GBP/JPY 30M SELL

· 21 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Scalping
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 5% (3.41) ▼ Bearish 95% (65.19)
GBP/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.31
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.29
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.26
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.20
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.19
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
DX Trend Strong indicator 1.67
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) fibonacci 1.65
FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.32
KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.30
SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 0.95
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.94
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 0.71

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All timeframes are bearish; the 4H and 2H are very strong, indicating a confirmed downtrend.
  • The dense cluster of retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT) and the BOP zero cross point to renewed selling pressure.
  • Watch the 30M support at 207.08700: a break would open the next leg lower, while a hold and rebound back above 209.03700 would invalidate.
  • The 30M is only 'trend forming', so expect possible choppiness before a decisive move.
The 30-minute GBP/JPY chart has fired a dense bearish signal cluster, headlined by a BOP Zero Cross Down and an unusually high 96% probability with very strong strength. The confluence extends across eight indicator groups—including DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, and MIDPOINT retreat downs, plus a HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down—pointing to broad-based selling pressure. These signals align with a cleanly bearish picture across all monitored timeframes: the 4H is in an extremely strong trend (5/5), the 2H and 8H are very strong (4/5), and even the shorter 15M and 30M show bearish, though trend-forming, structure. The fact that longer timeframes are stronger than the 30M suggests this is more than a transient pullback; it looks like a well-established downtrend that is now pressuring the intraday level.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 209.03700 and support at 207.08700. The immediate bias is bearish, with a likely test toward the support. However, the signal is trading a forming trend on the 30M itself, so the probability score carries weight but should be weighed against the still-developing nature of that timeframe. A break and close back above 209.03700 would invalidate the short-term bearish setup and point to a possible pullback, whereas a sustained move through 207.08700 would confirm downside continuation. The strong trend scores on the 4H and higher are the backbone of this signal, but the 30M being trend-forming suggests the move may not be perfectly linear.
Catalysts
  • Extremely strong trend on the 4H (5/5) and very strong on 2H and 8H provide powerful confluence with the signal.
  • Multiple moving averages and KAMA have turned down, confirming the bearish shift in momentum.
  • The BOP zero cross down adds a volume-flow confirmation to the retreat signals, reinforcing the selling conviction.
  • All timeframes are bearish, so there is no direct conflicting signal to undermine the short.
Risk Factors
  • The 30M signal itself is only 'trend forming' (2/5), which could lead to sideways or low-quality moves before continuation.
  • A spike above nearest resistance at 209.037 would invalidate the bearish setup and might wipe out the signal probability.
  • If the 4H extremely strong trend suddenly stalls (which can happen), the signal could be a lagging exhaust.
  • The 15M is the weakest, so an intraday bounce could delay the breakdown to support.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-09-09 06:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 209.03700 2026-09-08
R2 211.25400 2026-09-04
R3 211.80800 2026-09-04
S1 207.08700 2026-09-08

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