ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

2026-09-17 04:00 UTC · 1 hour ago

SELL

68%

▼ SELL

MODERATE

Scalping

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.9% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 68.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability

▲ Bullish 32% (5.22) ▼ Bearish 68% (11.08)

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (17 Sep 2026, 04:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.26
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.66
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.33
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	1.06
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	1.05
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.82
▼	Bearish Meeting Lines	candlestick	0.76
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on 30m indicate a likely short-term pullback in ETH/BTC.
The signal is moderate strength with 68% probability, so size positions accordingly.
Immediate support at 0.03144 is the key level to watch; a break could accelerate downside.
Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) remain bullish, so this may be a correction within an uptrend.

The ETH/BTC pair on the 30-minute timeframe has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, and KDJ OB Exit, among others. These indicators collectively point to a loss of upward momentum and a likely short-term pullback. The signal probability of 68% with moderate strength suggests a decent but not overwhelming edge. The bearish signal is firing against a backdrop of bullish trends on the 15m through 2h timeframes, which are still forming (trend score 2/5), indicating that the immediate downtrend may be a correction within a larger bullish move. However, the higher timeframes (4h and 8h) are bearish, with the 4h choppy/sideways, adding a layer of caution. The 12h and 1d timeframes show solid bullish trends, suggesting the longer-term bias remains upward.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.03225 and support at 0.03144. A break below support could confirm the bearish move and open the door to further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The confluence of multiple overbought exits and cross-down signals on the 30m chart suggests that selling pressure is building, but the conflicting bullish lower timeframes mean the move may be limited. Traders should treat this as a short-term bearish opportunity, with a focus on managing risk around the support level.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of overbought exits (CCI, KDJ) and cross-down signals (BOP, STOCHF) on the 30m chart.
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down and ER Level Cross Down add to the bearish momentum.
▼ Higher timeframe (4h, 8h) bearish trends provide a backdrop for the sell signal.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests the asset was overextended and due for a pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are still bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The 12h and 1d trends are solidly bullish, meaning the broader uptrend may overpower the short-term bearish signal.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.03225 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum may fade if price holds above the support level, leading to a sideways consolidation.