EUR/GBP – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-09-18 21:00 UTC 55 minutes ago

61.0 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (14.52) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 17.9 % average · stopped out 11.9 % vs 9.0 % (Forex, 159 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Sep 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.08
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.81
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.78
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.69
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.32
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.28
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.11
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, but against the prevailing bearish trend on most timeframes.
Fibonacci breakout and bullish momentum indicators (AO, BOP) suggest a short-term upside push.
Watch resistance at 0.85941 for confirmation; support at 0.85607 is the invalidation zone.
Higher timeframe trends are mixed, so this is a counter-trend trade with limited upside potential.

The EUR/GBP 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Fibonacci breakout to the upside (24%), a bullish AO Saucer, and a BOP zero cross up, alongside trend-strength confirmations from ADXR and CHOP. Despite the dominant bearish trend across most timeframes, the very strong signal strength (93%) suggests a short-term counter-trend bounce is underway. The price is likely attempting to reclaim the 30-minute trend after a retreat from the SMA 200 and HMA, which are both showing upward pullbacks.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 0.85941 and support at 0.85607. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the setup. The conflicting higher timeframe trends (bearish on 15m to 4h, but bullish on 8h and above) create a mixed backdrop, so traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger bearish context, using tight risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals firing in unison (Fibonacci, AO, BOP, HMA retreat) increase confluence.
▲ ADXR trend weak and CHOP trending indicate a potential shift from choppy to directional movement.
▲ The 8h and daily timeframes are bullish, providing a longer-term supportive backdrop.
▲ Strong signal strength (93%) and very strong rating suggest high probability of at least a short-term move.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15m to 4h trends are bearish, which could overpower the 30-minute bullish signal.
▼ Resistance at 0.85941 is nearby and may cap upside if not broken.
▼ If price falls below support at 0.85607, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Momentum indicators could fade quickly in a counter-trend move, leading to a false breakout.