ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 18.5 % vs 37.4 % average · stopped out 32.3 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 675 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
ETH/BTC  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 7%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (24 Sep 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.42
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.38
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 1.92
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.64
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.38
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.19
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.19

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 30-minute chart signals strong short-term downward momentum.
  • The signal is very strong, but higher timeframes show conflicting trends, so caution is warranted.
  • Key levels: support at 0.03142 and resistance at 0.03189 are the immediate focus.
  • A break below support could extend the decline, while reclaiming resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 30-minute chart for ETH/BTC has triggered a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a CCI Zero Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, T3 Break Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, and ALMA Break Down. This convergence signals a strong, broad-based bearish momentum shift on the shorter timeframe, with price breaking below multiple dynamic support levels. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the high degree of alignment among these indicators, suggesting that the immediate trend has turned decisively lower.

However, the broader trend picture is mixed. While the 15m, 30m, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bullish, the 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes are choppy or bearish. This creates a conflict: the short-term bearish signal is firing against a backdrop of higher-timeframe bullishness. The nearest support at 0.03142 is the immediate downside target; a break below it would confirm further weakness. Conversely, the nearest resistance at 0.03189 is the level to reclaim for any bullish reversal. Traders should watch these levels closely, as the signal's reliability may be tempered by the mixed higher-timeframe trends.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of eight bearish signals on the 30-minute chart, indicating broad-based selling pressure.
  • ▼ Price breaking below multiple moving averages (EMA 200, SMA 200, ALMA) and the BBANDS middle band.
  • ▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down adds a momentum-based confirmation of the bearish move.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability reflect high indicator alignment.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside or lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ The 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes are choppy, indicating a lack of clear trend and potential false signals.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 0.03189 is close; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the price holds above the 0.03142 support, leading to a range-bound move.
Symbol ETH/BTC
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-09-24 07:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.03189 2026-09-23
R2 0.03206 2026-09-22
R3 0.03209 2026-09-22
S1 0.03142 2026-09-23

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