BTC/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL NEW
47 minutes ago
67.1 %
– erste Kerze
VERY STRONG
Swing
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00)
▼ Bearish 100 % (36.22)
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
47.0% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(25 Sep 2026, 16:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.43 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▼ | AO Saucer Bearish | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.78 |
| ▼ | DPO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.49 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.34 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.85 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTrend forming
30MDOWNTrend forming
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNChoppy / sideways
4HUPTrend forming
8HUPTrend forming
12HUPSolid trend
1DUPSolid trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Strong bearish momentum on the 4H, but it's against the higher-timeframe bullish trend.
- Watch the nearest support at 74967.97; a break below could signal a deeper pullback.
- Resistance at 87395.67 is the key level to reclaim for bulls to regain control.
- Higher timeframe trends remain bullish, so treat this as a potential pullback, not a reversal.
The 4H BTC/USDT signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish crossovers across a broad set of momentum and oscillating indicators, including BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, and STOCHF. This collective shift from bullish to bearish momentum on the 4H timeframe suggests a potential short-term reversal or a pullback within the larger uptrend. The signal strength is very strong, with 20 indicators aligning, which adds conviction to the bearish move.
However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, with the 12H and 1D showing solid trends. This creates a conflict: the bearish signal is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe bullish structure. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are also bearish, indicating that the selling pressure is currently dominant in the short term. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 87395.67 and the nearest support at 74967.97. A break below support would confirm a deeper correction, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish momentum.
However, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, with the 12H and 1D showing solid trends. This creates a conflict: the bearish signal is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe bullish structure. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are also bearish, indicating that the selling pressure is currently dominant in the short term. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 87395.67 and the nearest support at 74967.97. A break below support would confirm a deeper correction, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish momentum.
Catalysts
- ▼ 20 indicators firing bearish crossovers simultaneously on the 4H, indicating strong momentum shift.
- ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are all bearish, confirming short-term selling pressure.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability (100%) based on the indicator cluster.
- ▼ Candlestick patterns in the signal group add confluence to the bearish momentum.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H-1D) are bullish, so the bearish signal may be a counter-trend pullback that could reverse quickly.
- ▲ The nearest support at 74967.97 is far below the current price, leaving room for a bounce before that level is tested.
- ▲ Momentum oscillators can stay overbought/oversold for extended periods, so the crossovers may not lead to a sustained move.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 87395.67 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol
BTC/USDT
Timeframe
4H
Direction
SELL
Conviction
100%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-09-25 12:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 87,395.67000 | 2026-09-21 |
| S1 | 74,967.97000 | 2026-09-15 |