ETH/BTC – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-09-24 23:00 UTC 1 day ago

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 18.5 % vs 37.4 % average · stopped out 32.3 % vs 21.3 % (Crypto, 675 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (25 Sep 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.37
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.27
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.58

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators on the 1H chart suggest short-term downside pressure.
Higher timeframe trends are mixed, with 4H/8H bearish but 1D bullish.
Watch the 0.03166 support; a break could confirm the bearish signal.
Resistance at 0.03203 is the key level to reclaim for bulls.

The 1H chart for ETH/BTC has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down, indicating a loss of upside momentum and a potential shift toward lower prices. The confluence of these indicators, particularly the EMA 200 and KAMA retreats, suggests that the prevailing short-term uptrend is weakening, and the cross down in the Stochastic Fast and Balance of Power underscores fading buying pressure. The signal's strong probability (76%) is supported by the alignment of multiple indicators across different categories, even though the broader trend picture is mixed.

Across higher timeframes, the 4H and 8H charts are bearish, while the 1D shows a solid uptrend, creating a conflicting backdrop. This suggests that the current sell signal may be a corrective pullback within a larger bullish structure rather than the start of a major reversal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.03203 and support at 0.03166. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance could invalidate the signal. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of bearish signals on 1H, including EMA 200 and KAMA retreats.
▼ Lower timeframe trends (15m-2h) are weak, showing only 1/5 strength.
▼ Bearish alignment on 4H and 8H timeframes supports the downside move.
▼ Strong signal probability (76%) and strength rating.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe 1D trend is bullish, which could limit downside.
▲ The 12H and 1D trends are still positive, suggesting the pullback may be temporary.
▲ If price reclaims 0.03203 resistance, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
▲ Momentum oscillators may be oversold, leading to a bounce.