BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-26 02:00 UTC 59 minutes ago

66.1 % ↑ +6.0 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Scalping

▲ Bullish 10 % (1.59) ▼ Bearish 90 % (14.20)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 89.9 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Sep 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.61
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.92
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.67

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback is underway.
Higher timeframes (4h and above) remain bullish, so this may be a dip within an uptrend.
Watch the 83183 support: a break below could extend the decline, while reclaiming 84193 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Mixed signals from ERI and HMA suggest caution—momentum is not uniformly bearish.

The 30-minute chart for BTC/USDT has fired a cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, and SMA 50 Retreat Down. These indicate a shift in intraday momentum toward the downside, with the CTI OB Entry signaling an overbought condition that is now unwinding. The presence of a Spinning Top Bearish candlestick adds a note of indecision that tilts bearish, while the ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up and HMA Direction Up create a mixed short-term picture—suggesting that while the immediate trend is down, some indicators are still catching up.

Across timeframes, the picture is conflicted: the 15-minute is bullish but choppy, while the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour are bearish, though only the 30-minute shows a forming trend. The 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes remain bullish, with the higher timeframes showing solid trends. This suggests the bearish signal is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 84193.39 and support at 83183.00; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while reclaiming resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 50) points to a loss of upside momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down reflects selling pressure, aligning with the bearish candlestick pattern.
▼ CTI OB Entry indicates overbought conditions that often precede a corrective move.
▼ The 30-minute trend is forming, giving the signal a higher probability (75%).

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15-minute chart is bullish, and the HMA Direction Up suggests some upward momentum remains.
▲ If price holds above support at 83183 and reclaims resistance at 84193, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The bearish trend is still forming (2/5 strength), so it may lack conviction.