ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-09-29 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (1.41) ▼ Bearish 93 % (19.26)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Sep 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.48
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.01
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.00
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum is strong on the 30m and lower timeframes, with multiple indicators confirming the sell signal.
The trend is bearish on 15m-1h, but higher timeframes (2h-1d) remain bullish, suggesting a pullback within an uptrend.
Watch the 0.03202 support; a break could lead to further downside, while 0.03229 is the key resistance to reclaim.
The signal strength is very strong (93% probability), but higher timeframe bias is bullish, so manage risk accordingly.

The ETH/BTC pair on the 30-minute timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP zero cross down, MACD zero cross down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA). This indicates a strong, synchronized shift in momentum to the downside, reinforced by the very strong signal strength and 93% probability. The bearish alignment on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes confirms that the short-term trend is turning lower, while the higher timeframes (2h through 1d) remain bullish but are showing signs of consolidation or choppiness, suggesting that this pullback is likely part of a larger uptrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.03229 and support at 0.03202. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The confluence of multiple indicators and the alignment across the lower timeframes give this signal high conviction, but traders should be mindful that the higher timeframe trend is still bullish, so this may be a corrective move rather than a reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) align with the bearish direction, confirming momentum shift.
▼ BOP and MACD zero cross downs indicate selling pressure and bearish momentum.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the short-term bearish move.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability (93%) increase confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h-1d) are still bullish, so the bearish move could be a pullback that reverses quickly.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.03229 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 15m trend is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false signals or whipsaw.
▲ Momentum may fade if the pair approaches the 0.03202 support, as buyers could step in.