BTC/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-01 21:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (12.52)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

57.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 4.1 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.1 % vs 35.0 % average · stopped out 48.8 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,534 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.98
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.70
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.48
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.43

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 1H bearish signal suggests a short-term pullback, but the broader trend is bullish.
Key levels: resistance at 85649.95, support at 83186.
Watch for a break above resistance to invalidate the sell signal.
This is likely a correction within an uptrend, not a reversal.

The 1H SELL signal on BTC/USDT is a confluence of seven bearish indicators, including T3 Retreat Down, KDJ Cross Down, ALMA Break Down, and a suite of trend-following tools (HMA, TTM, HT TRENDMODE) all pointing to a short-term pullback. This cluster suggests that after a recent advance, momentum is fading and price is likely to retrace toward the nearest support at 83186. The signal is exceptionally strong (probability 100%, strength very_strong), indicating a high degree of alignment among the indicators on the 1H timeframe.

However, the broader trend context is clearly bullish: all timeframes from 15m to 1D are in an uptrend, with the 1D showing a solid trend (3/5). This means the sell signal is likely a corrective move within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. The immediate resistance at 85649.95 is the level to watch; a break above it would negate the bearish setup, while a hold below it and a move toward support would confirm the pullback. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity, not a trend change.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of seven bearish indicators on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Indicators like T3 Retreat Down and ALMA Break Down confirm momentum shift.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability.
▼ Immediate resistance at 85649.95 provides a clear invalidation level.

Risk Factors

▲ All higher timeframes are bullish, which could limit downside and fuel a rebound.
▲ The 1H trend itself is still bullish (though choppy), so the sell signal may be premature.
▲ A break above resistance at 85649.95 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the pullback is shallow and price resumes the uptrend.