EUR/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 zur Vorkerze
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +27% Scalping
▲ Bullish 7 % (4.59) ▼ Bearish 93 % (63.67)
6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 93.3 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen
EUR/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 93%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Descending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.56
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 2.54
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.27
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.00
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.90
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.35
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.83

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNVery strong trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart, led by a Descending Triangle breakdown and multiple moving average retreats, signals strong selling pressure.
  • The bearish trend is aligned across all major timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, with the strongest conviction on the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour charts.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.93528 is the immediate upside barrier; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI OS Exit indicate momentum is shifting in favor of sellers, though the CCI exit could hint at a short-term consolidation.
The EUR/CHF 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, headlined by a Descending Triangle breakdown and a retreat below the EMA, KAMA, and MAMA price lines. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms sellers are in control of momentum, while the CCI exiting oversold territory suggests the initial thrust lower may be pausing, but the overall trend structure remains firmly bearish. With a 92% probability and very strong strength, this is a high-conviction sell setup.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and solidifying. The 30-minute and 1-hour charts both show very strong bearish trends (4/5), and the 2-hour chart aligns, reinforcing the signal's validity. The 15-minute and 4-hour trends are solid (3/5), while the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are just beginning to form bearish trends, indicating potential for further downside if the move continues. The nearest resistance at 0.93528 is a key level to watch for any bounce, but with no clear support below, the path of least resistance is down.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment of bearish trends across multiple timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h all at 4/5 trend strength).
  • ▼ Confluence of a chart pattern (Descending Triangle) with a cluster of indicator-based retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MAMA, MA).
  • ▼ Momentum confirmation via BOP Zero Cross Down, showing selling pressure is dominant.
  • ▼ High signal probability (92%) and very strong strength rating, indicating high conviction in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The CCI OS Exit signal could indicate that the oversold condition is resolving, potentially leading to a short-term bounce or consolidation before the next leg down.
  • ▲ The nearest support is listed as N/A, meaning there is no clear downside target, which could lead to increased volatility and uncertainty.
  • ▲ Higher timeframe trends (8h, 12h, 1d) are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so a reversal on those timeframes could undermine the bearish case.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.93528 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-02 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.93528 2026-10-02
R2 0.94786 2026-10-01
R3 0.94862 2026-09-30

Tags

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