ETH/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-02 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

60.1 % ↑ +20.4 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 26 % (6.79) ▼ Bearish 74 % (19.82)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 74.5 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.60
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	2.39
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.26
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	1.83
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	1.77
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal is very strong on the 30-minute timeframe with a high probability of continuation.
Multiple indicators align (DI, DM, BBANDS, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) to confirm the downside move.
Watch the 0.03155 support; a break below could accelerate selling, while a bounce could signal a false breakdown.
Higher timeframes (1h, 1d) are still bullish, so treat this as a pullback within an uptrend.

The 30-minute ETH/BTC chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, EMA Break Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, KAMA Break Down, MA Break Down, and MAMA PRICE Break Down. This confluence of momentum and trend-following signals points to a strong short-term bearish push, with the 30-minute trend score at 2/5 (trend forming). The 15-minute timeframe also shows bearish formation, aligning with the immediate downside bias. However, the 1-hour and daily timeframes remain bullish, indicating that this is a corrective move within a larger uptrend, not a reversal.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.03200 and support at 0.03155. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door for a deeper pullback, while a reclaim of resistance would negate the signal. Given the very strong signal strength, the immediate bias is bearish, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trend, which could limit downside follow-through.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of multiple bearish indicators on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m and 30m timeframes (both bearish).
▼ Clear support/resistance levels to define the trade setup.
▼ Very strong signal strength (90% probability) suggests high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trend (1h and 1d) is still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
▲ Nearest support at 0.03155 is close; a bounce from this level could invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum may fade if the price fails to break below support, leading to a sideways consolidation.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 2h and above suggest low trend strength, increasing the chance of false signals.