GBP/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-02 12:00 UTC 1 hour ago

61.0 % – zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +34% Scalping

▲ Bullish 100 % (26.08) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.2 % vs 19.7 % average · stopped out 16.8 % vs 12.0 % (Forex, 309 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.20
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.93
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.80
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish.
Resistance at 208.744 is the key upside target; support at 207.586 is the critical downside level.
The KST Signal Cross Down indicates medium-term momentum is still negative, which may limit upside.
The Fibonacci break up at 24% adds confluence to the bullish case, but trend alignment across timeframes is mixed.

The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, a SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, an HMA Retreat Up, and a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% level, alongside a Southern Doji candlestick. These signals suggest a potential short-term bounce within a broader bearish trend. The KST Signal Cross Down, however, indicates that the medium-term momentum remains negative, which may cap the upside. The confluence of these signals points to a possible retest of the nearest resistance at 208.744, while support at 207.586 is the immediate downside reference.

Across timeframes, the trend is bearish, with solid trends on the 15-minute, 1-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts, and forming trends on the others. This alignment suggests that any bullish move is likely corrective in nature. The Fibonacci break up at the 24% level adds a technical layer to the bounce, but the overall bearish trend across multiple timeframes argues for caution. Traders should watch the resistance level closely; a break above it could signal a deeper correction, while failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals firing together (BOP, STOCHRSI, SQUEEZE, HMA, Fibonacci break) increase confidence in a bounce.
▲ The Southern Doji candlestick pattern suggests a potential reversal from a bearish move.
▲ The Fibonacci break up at the 24% level provides a technical support zone that may attract buyers.
▲ The 30-minute chart is the signal timeframe, but the bearish higher timeframes may still dominate.

Risk Factors

▼ The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, which could overwhelm the bullish signals.
▼ The KST Signal Cross Down indicates negative momentum that could resume the downtrend.
▼ If price fails to hold above support at 207.586, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ The 1-hour and daily trends are solidly bearish, suggesting that any bounce may be short-lived.