SOL/BTC – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-04 04:00 UTC 1 hour ago

60.1 % – erste Kerze

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +14% Intraday

▲ Bullish 24 % (3.54) ▼ Bearish 76 % (11.09)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

53.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 75.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 34.5 % average · stopped out 48.5 % vs 21.4 % (Crypto, 1,663 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.63
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.35
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	0.86
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.83
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 2H chart suggest a potential short-term pullback in SOL/BTC.
The broader trend is still bullish, so this could be a counter-trend move.
Watch the support at 0.00139 and resistance at 0.00143 for direction.
A break below support would confirm the bearish reversal; a hold above resistance invalidates it.

The 2H chart for SOL/BTC has fired a confluence of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, RSX OB Entry, SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, and a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern. These signals collectively indicate that the recent upward momentum may be stalling, with the trendline break suggesting a potential shift in the short-term structure. The SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire hints at an impending volatility expansion, often accompanying directional moves, and the ZSCORE Extreme High Exit points to price being stretched above its mean, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.

Despite the bearish 2H signals, the broader trend across timeframes remains bullish, with the 15m, 30m, and 1D timeframes showing solid trends. The 2H and 4H trends are only forming or choppy, indicating that the bearish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.00143 and support at 0.00139. A break below support could confirm the bearish reversal, while holding above resistance would invalidate the bearish case. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals align on the 2H timeframe, including trendline break and candlestick pattern.
▼ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicates potential volatility expansion, often leading to directional moves.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price is overextended, increasing the likelihood of a mean reversion.
▼ The 2H trend is only 'forming', providing less bullish conviction than higher timeframes.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (15m, 30m, 1D) are bullish, which could overpower the 2H bearish signal.
▲ Nearest support at 0.00139 is close; a bounce from there could invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The STOCH KD Cross Up among the signals is contradictory, suggesting some bullish momentum remains.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.00143, the bearish thesis would be negated.