BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-05 16:00 UTC 1 hour ago

39.0 % ↑ +3.1 zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 25 % (6.41) ▼ Bearish 75 % (18.75)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 19.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 22.2 % vs 33.5 % average · stopped out 23.0 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,480 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	3.08
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.71
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	1.95
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.64
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.61
▲	STC OS Entry	indicator	1.43
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.30

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bearish signals dominate the lower timeframes, but the higher timeframes remain bullish.
Watch the 85,094 support; a break below could accelerate the decline.
Resistance at 86,999 is the immediate upside barrier.
The signal is a pullback opportunity, not a trend reversal, given the bullish daily trend.

The 30-minute SELL signal for BTC/USDT is backed by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators, including DX Trend Strong, STOCHF KD Cross Up, EMA 50 Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, and QQE Midline Cross Down. This confluence suggests a short-term bearish push, with price retreating from recent highs. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are bearish (trend forming), the higher timeframes (2h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish with solid trend scores. This indicates the current sell-off is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend, rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 86,999.11 and support at 85,094.00. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could extend the decline, while a rebound from support would reinforce the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The moderate strength and 74% probability suggest a tradable opportunity, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher-timeframe trend. The signal's effectiveness depends on whether price respects the support level and whether the bearish momentum can overcome the bullish backdrop.

Catalysts