SOL/BTC – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-05 14:30 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % – zur Vorkerze

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 16 % (6.14) ▼ Bearish 84 % (32.89)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 0.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	3.24
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.21
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.02
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	TEMA Break Down	indicator	1.99
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.33
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.30
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.02
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with high probability (84%).
Multiple moving averages and trendlines are aligned to the downside, confirming momentum.
Watch the nearest support at 0.00139; a break could lead to further declines.
Higher timeframes are mixed, so treat this as a short-term trade within a larger uptrend.

The SOL/BTC pair is under strong bearish pressure on the 30-minute timeframe, with a high-probability sell signal (84% strength) driven by a confluence of technical indicators. The signal is supported by a cluster of retreating moving averages (DEMA, EMA, MA), a break below the MAMA price level, and a retreat from the HT trendline, all pointing to sustained downside momentum. The stochastic fast (STOCHF) KD cross up suggests a short-term bounce may occur, but the overall bearish alignment across lower timeframes (15m to 2h) reinforces the selling bias.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish but choppy, with the 4h and 8h showing weak trend scores (1/5) and the 12h and 1d still bullish. This mixed picture implies that the current sell signal is part of a corrective move within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.00139 and resistance at 0.00141. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals: multiple moving average retreats and a MAMA price break.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes supports downside continuation.
▼ Resistance at 0.00141 is holding, providing a clear level for the bearish case.
▼ Strong trend score on the 15m timeframe (3/5) adds conviction to the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are still bullish, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ The STOCHF KD cross up suggests a possible short-term bounce that could stall the decline.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.00141, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Choppy conditions on 4h and 8h timeframes indicate a lack of clear trend, increasing the risk of false moves.