SOL/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-06 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

62.9 % – erste Kerze

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 16 % (3.23) ▼ Bearish 84 % (17.26)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

45.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 84.2 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 22.2 % vs 33.5 % average · stopped out 23.0 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,480 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.63
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.60
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.24
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.08
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.08
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.00
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.91
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.83
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.81
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.71

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong, multi-indicator bearish crossover cluster on the 4H chart signals a potential short-term downside move.
The bearish signal conflicts with the bullish trends on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D), so treat this as a pullback unless support breaks.
Watch the 116.73000 support level; a decisive break below it would confirm the bearish momentum, while a bounce could signal a resumption of the uptrend.
Resistance at 123.76000 is the immediate upside barrier; reclaiming it would invalidate the bearish signal.

The 4H chart for SOL/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish crossovers across multiple momentum and trend-following indicators, including the BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCHF, and BBANDS MIDDLE, all crossing down simultaneously. This suggests a strong, coordinated shift in short-term momentum toward the downside, with the signal strength rated as strong and a high probability of 84%. However, this bearish signal is occurring against a backdrop of higher-timeframe bullish trends: the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all in solid uptrends, and even the 4H itself is still labeled bullish. This creates a classic conflict between the immediate momentum reversal and the larger trend direction.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 123.76000 and support at 116.73000. The bearish signal suggests that price may test the support level, but the higher-timeframe bullish trends could provide a floor and potentially invalidate the downside move. Traders should monitor whether price can break and hold below the support, which would confirm the bearish momentum, or if it bounces, indicating that the pullback is merely a correction within a larger uptrend. The confluence of so many indicators crossing down in unison adds weight to the bearish case, but the conflicting higher-timeframe trends are a significant counterweight.

Catalysts

▼ Simultaneous bearish crossovers on 13 indicators, including momentum (RSI, CCI, CMO) and trend (BBANDS, BIAS), indicate strong selling pressure.
▼ The signal strength is rated strong with an 84% probability, suggesting high conviction in the short-term move.
▼ The bearish signal is aligned with the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, which are all bearish, confirming near-term downside momentum.
▼ A clear support level at 116.73000 provides a defined target, and a break below it could accelerate selling.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are in solid bullish trends, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The 4H and 2H timeframes are still bullish, so the bearish signal may be a false breakdown if price fails to sustain below support.
▲ The nearest resistance at 123.76000 is relatively close, and a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum indicators can whipsaw in choppy conditions; the 15m to 1h trends are weak (1/5), indicating a lack of strong directional conviction.