AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-07 01:00 UTC 47 minutes ago

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping

▲ Bullish 78 % (32.83) ▼ Bearish 22 % (9.33)

5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

52.5% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 9.8 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 2 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.7 % vs 19.2 % average · stopped out 14.9 % vs 11.7 % (Forex, 248 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.14
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.98
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.55
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.52
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.50
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.36
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.27
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.25
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum oscillators (RSI, CCI, BOP, CMO) are turning up from oversold levels, suggesting a short-term bounce.
The broader trend is still bearish on higher timeframes (12h, 1d), so this is a counter-trend long signal.
Watch the 110.48400 resistance and 109.92900 support; a break above resistance could extend the move, while losing support invalidates the signal.
The signal is strong (77% probability) but the mixed trend across timeframes warrants caution.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute signal is a confluence of momentum oscillators turning upward from oversold conditions, including a CCI oversold exit, RSI midline cross up, and BOP zero cross up, alongside Aroon indicators that have flipped from a strong downtrend to a cross down, suggesting the selling pressure is easing. This cluster of indicator signals points to a short-term bullish reversal attempt within a broader bearish trend across the higher timeframes. The 2-hour and 4-hour charts are already showing bullish trend formation, which lends some support to the idea that the 30-minute bounce could have legs, but the dominant daily and 12-hour trends remain bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 110.48400 and support at 109.92900. A break above the resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and could attract further buying, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the larger downtrend. The overall trend structure is mixed, with higher timeframes still bearish, so traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, not a trend reversal signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (RSI, CCI, BOP, CMO) are aligning to signal a bullish reversal from oversold conditions.
▲ The 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes are showing bullish trend formation, suggesting the bounce could be more than just a flash move.
▲ The Aroon indicators have shifted from a strong downtrend to a cross down, indicating a potential change in momentum.
▲ The signal strength is rated as strong with a 77% probability, reflecting high confluence among indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The 12-hour and daily timeframes are still bearish, which could cap any upside and lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bearish and choppy, so the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ If price fails to hold above the 109.92900 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and a move lower could accelerate.
▼ The mixed trend across timeframes (bearish on 15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, 12h, 1d; bullish on 2h, 4h) suggests a lack of clear directional conviction, increasing the risk of whipsaws.