BTC/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-07 20:00 UTC 1 hour ago

35.9 % ↓ −3.8 zur Vorkerze

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 93 % (25.93) ▼ Bearish 7 % (2.00)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 5.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.9 % vs 33.2 % average · stopped out 23.6 % vs 21.1 % (Crypto, 1,632 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	2.01
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.93
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.32
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.28
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.24
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.19
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.14
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.03
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.01
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	1.00
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster has formed on the 30-minute chart, suggesting a short-term bounce.
The signal is counter-trend against the bearish 1-hour and 2-hour trends, so caution is warranted.
Watch the nearest resistance at 86698.99 for a breakout confirmation; the support at 82787.25 is the key invalidation level.
Higher timeframe trends (12h and 1d) are bullish, offering potential long-term support.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, led by an Aroon Cross Up and Aroon Oscillator Zero Cross Up, indicating a fresh upward momentum shift. This is reinforced by a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern and additional momentum indicators like STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and Williams %R overbought entry, alongside DEMA and KAMA retreats upward. The confluence of these signals suggests that the immediate 30-minute bias has flipped to bullish, targeting the nearest resistance at 86698.99.

However, this bullish signal runs counter to the broader trend, which is bearish and very strong on the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes, and bearish on the 2-hour and 4-hour charts. The higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bullish, providing a longer-term backdrop of support. The key is whether the 30-minute momentum can overcome the bearish pressure from the higher timeframes. A break above the resistance at 86698.99 would confirm the bullish reversal, while a failure to hold above the support at 82787.25 could invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (Aroon, STOCHRSI, WILLR) align to confirm upward momentum on the 30-minute chart.
▲ A Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern adds confluence to the signal.
▲ The 12-hour and daily trends are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop for the short-term bullish move.
▲ The signal strength is 'very strong' with a 92% probability, indicating high confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The 30-minute and 1-hour trends are bearish and very strong, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish momentum.
▼ If the price fails to break above the resistance at 86698.99, the bullish signal may fade.
▼ A drop below the support at 82787.25 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the bearish trend.
▼ The 'DX Trend Weak' signal suggests the overall trend strength is not robust, so the move could lack follow-through.