USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-08 00:00 UTC 1 hour ago

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 zur Vorkerze

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +31% Scalping

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (44.03)

6 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit

56.1% of closed signals in this class ended above zero

model score 100.0 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the figure above is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Überzeugung · 3 Kerzen

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.55
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.31

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart, led by a Trendline Break Down and multiple indicator crossovers.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are aligned bearish, but higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bullish, making this a counter-trend move.
Resistance at 158.40000 is the key level to hold for the bearish case; support at 157.85300 is the immediate downside target.
The high probability (90%) and very strong strength rating suggest the setup is well-confluent, but the higher-timeframe bullish trend is a caution.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, and STOCH KD Cross Down. The DX Trend Strong signal confirms the presence of a robust downtrend, while the EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and KAMA Retreat Down indicate that multiple moving-average systems are rolling over in sync. This confluence across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups points to a well-aligned short-term bearish move.

Across timeframes, the bearish momentum is strongest in the 15m, 30m, and 1h charts, all showing trend formation, while the 2h and 4h are also bearish but choppy. However, the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes remain bullish, suggesting this is a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.40000, which should hold to keep the bearish bias intact, and the nearest support at 157.85300, where a break could extend the decline. A failure to hold below resistance or a bounce off support would signal a loss of bearish momentum.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of signals across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups.
▼ Strong trend score (DX Trend Strong) and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) confirm downward momentum.
▼ Bearish alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the short-term move.
▼ Resistance at 158.40000 is acting as a ceiling, keeping the bias bearish as long as it holds.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are still bullish, which could overwhelm the short-term bearish move.
▲ The 2h and 4h are only mildly bearish and choppy, suggesting a lack of strong momentum on those frames.
▲ A break back above resistance at 158.40000 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If price stalls near support at 157.85300, the move may fade and reverse.